dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

11 Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

03 11 (2); 11 reasons (1); 11 Trillion (1); 2002-02-11 (1); 2002-11-21 (1); 2003-03-11 (1); 2003-11-4 (1); 2005 11 (1); 2006-12-11 (1); 2007-11 (2); 2007-11-16 (1); 2007-11-30 (1); 2009-03-11 (1); 9 11 (4); 9/11 attacks (1); bothersome 11 (1); Chapter 11 (4); Chapter 11 bankruptcy (2); June 11 (1); Korean War inspired 11 (1); post-9/11 America (1).

Fri 2010-10-08 21:57 EDT

A Mammoth One in Five Borrowers Will Default <<; Real Estate Prices & Mortgages on HousingStory.net

A leading mortgage analyst predicts over 11 million homeowners will default and lose their home if the government fails to take more radical intervention. Amherst Securities Group LP, one of the most respected names in mortgage research, has trumpeted an ambitious call-to-government arms in its October mortgage report. ``The death spiral of lower home prices, more borrowers underwater, higher transition rates (to default), more distressed sales and lower home prices must be arrested.''...

borrowing; default; HousingStory; mammoth; mortgage; net; real estate prices.

naked capitalism Mon 2010-09-20 19:10 EDT

American Businesses and Consumers are NOT Deleveraging ... They Are Going On One Last Binge

Everyone knows that the American consumer is deleveraging ... living more frugally, and paying down debt. Right?...Karl Denninger notes: ``From a peak in 2005 of $13.1 trillion in equity in residential real estate, that value has now diminished by approximately half to $6.67 trillion!Yet outstanding household debt has in fact increased from $11.7 trillion to $13.5 trillion today. Folks, those who claim that we have ``de-levered'' are lying. Not only has the consumer not de-levered but business is actually gearing up -- putting the lie to any claim that they have ``record cash.'' Well, yes, but they also have record debt, and instead of decreasing leverage levels they're adding to them'' ...the government has done everything it can to prevent deleveraging by the financial companies, and to re-lever up the economy to dizzying levels.

American businesses; Binge; consumer; deleveraging; Go; naked capitalism.

Wed 2010-05-19 13:23 EDT

Conspiracy of Banks Rigging States Came With Crash (Update1)

...a nationwide conspiracy in which financial advisers to municipalities colluded with Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Wachovia Corp. and 11 other banks... rigged bids on auctions for so-called guaranteed investment contracts, known as GICs, according to a Justice Department list that was filed in U.S. District Court in Manhattan on March 24 and then put under seal. Those contracts hold tens of billions of taxpayer money...The workings of the conspiracy -- which stretched from California to Pennsylvania and included more than 200 deals involving about 160 state agencies, local governments and non- profits -- can be pieced together from the Justice Department's indictment of CDR, civil lawsuits by governments around the country, e-mails obtained by Bloomberg News and interviews with current and former bankers and public officials. "The whole investment process was rigged across the board," said Charlie Anderson, who retired in 2007 as head of field operations for the Internal Revenue Service's tax-exempt bond division. "It was so commonplace that people talked about it on the phones of their employers and ignored the fact that they were being recorded." Anderson said he referred scores of cases to the Justice Department when he was with the IRS. He estimates that bid rigging cost taxpayers billions of dollars...

Banks Rigging States Came; conspiracy; Crash; Update1.

PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM Tue 2010-05-18 15:17 EDT

11 REASON WHY DEFLATION REMAINS THE GREATER RISK

A nice follow-up here on our earlier piece. David Rosenberg has really nailed the macro picture in terms of inflation and deflation...why deflation remains the greater risk... * Credit is contracting. * Wage rates are stagnating. * Money supply growth is vanishing * The U.S. dollar is strong. * Commodities have peaked. * U.S. home prices are rolling over ... again. * Lumber prices tumbling (down nearly 17% from April 2010 highs) * Wal-Mart is cutting prices on 10,000 items. * Home Depot just cut prices on flowers, fertilizers, lawn equipment and outdoor furniture. * Taco Bell is offering two dollar combo meals. * The April U.S. retail sales report hinted at deflation in groceries, electronics, apparel and sporting goods.

11 reasons; deflation remains; greater risk; PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM.

The Wall Street Examiner Sun 2010-05-09 10:02 EDT

The Minsky Cruise (part 3, Business)

...While non-financial domestic corporate profits have shrunk from a Korean War inspired 11% of GDP to average around 5% of GDP since 1970, the financial sector's profits have been growing...The love affair with finance and disdain for what, during the tech boom, we called the "bricks and mortar" industry- and admittedly a failure, by some in those industries, to accept the transition to maturity- has inspired, for want of a better word, envy in the non-financial sector. While financial sector stocks seem to levitate on their own, non-financial sector stocks, if intent can be inferred from behavior, are believed to require a boost. I suspect the use of options as payment has something to do with this as well...Additionally, the non-financial sector, since the mid-80s has- a true sign of envy- opted to copy finance, by breaking into that field. GE Capital and GMAC Financial are two prominent examples...To paraphrase Nixon, "we're all Ponzis, now."

business; Minsky Cruise; Part 3; Wall Street Examiner.

Wed 2010-02-03 19:45 EST

Bankruptcy Judge Invalidates Securitization Payment Structure >> HousingWire

A federal bankruptcy court judge in New York ruled earlier this week that long-held assumptions about payments owed to a counterparty in securitization deals cannot be enforced under US Bankruptcy Code, in a decision set to upend the securitization market. The decision was handed down by Judge James Peck, the judge overseeing the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy proceedings, who said that certain contractual provisions in a Lehman collateralized default obligation (CDO) are unenforceable under Chapter 11.

Bankruptcy Judge Invalidates Securitization Payment Structure; HousingWire.

zero hedge Thu 2009-11-19 10:42 EST

Fannie Mae Seriously Delinquent Rate Hockeysticks to 4.45% From 1.57% In Prior Year

The FNM "seriously delinquent" rate has gone parabolic, increasing by roughly 5% sequentially and just under 300% YoY. As mere text will simply not do this metric justice, please enjoy this chart of the dataset from Blytic. It tells you all you need to know about the Fed's containment of the housing problem. The August seriously delinquent single-family number comprised of a 2.87% non-credit enhanced delinquencies and a very bothersome 11.52%, consisting of credit enhanced loans. The deterioration of FNM's book however did not stop it from increasing the size of its book. In September Fannie's total book of business hit $3.242 trillion, up from $3.229 trillion in August and $3.079 trillion in the prior year.

1; 4; 45; 57; Fannie Mae Seriously Delinquent Rate Hockeysticks; prior years; Zero Hedge.

zero hedge Sun 2009-10-11 16:17 EDT

€300 Million Later: Deutsche Bank's Invoice On The Remains Of The Jefferson Smurfit Group

...in a span of 10 years, DB has made almost half a billion dollars while the underlying assets have deteriorated so much that the American business has had to file for Chapter 11, while the remainder is stuck picking up the pieces at a deplorable return to shareholders.

Deutsche Bank's Invoice; Jefferson Smurfit Group; later; remains; Zero Hedge; €300.

Tue 2009-09-29 11:43 EDT

The Post-Bubble Malaise

...the Fed is building excess bank reserves (nearly $1 trillion in the last year alone) with the tacit understanding that the banks will return the favor by purchasing Uncle Sam's sovereign debt. It's all very confusing and circular, in keeping with Bernanke's stated commitment to "transparency". What a laugh. The good news is that the trillions in government paper probably won't increase inflation until the economy begins to improve and the slack in capacity is reduced. Then we can expect to get walloped with hyperinflation. But that could be years off. For the foreseeable future, it's all about deflation...The question is, how long can the Obama administration write checks on an account that's overdrawn by $11 trillion (the national debt) before the foreign appetite for US Treasurys wanes and we have a sovereign debt crisis? If the Fed is faking sales of Treasurys to conceal the damage--as I expect it is--we could see the dollar plunge to $2 per euro by the middle of 2010...The consumer is maxed out, private sector activity is in the tank, and government stimulus is the only thing keeping the economy off the meat-wagon. Bernanke might not admit it, but the economy is sinking into post-bubble malaise.

Post bubble malaise.

ClubOrlov Wed 2009-08-26 11:24 EDT

Definancialisation, Deglobalisation, Relocalisation

This talk was presented at The New Emergency Conference in Dublin, on June 11, 2009. ``we all have to prepare for life without much money, where imported goods are scarce, and where people have to provide for their own needs, and those of their immediate neighbours'' ``Most of the wealth is in very few private hands right now. Governments and the vast majority of the people only have debt. It is important to convince people who control all this wealth that they really have two choices. They can trust their investment advisers, maintain their current portfolios, and eventually lose everything. Or they can use their wealth to reengage with people and the land in new ways, in which case they stand a chance of saving something for themselves and their children. They can build and launch lifeboats, recruit crew, and set them sailing.'' 1. Good morning. The title of this talk is a bit of a mouthful, but what I want to say can be summed up in simpler words: we all have to prepare for life without much money, where imported goods are scarce, and where people have to provide for their own needs, and those of their immediate neighbours. I will take as my point of departure the unfolding collapse of the global economy, and discuss what might come next. It started with the collapse of the financial markets last year, and is now resulting in unprecedented decreases in the volumes of international trade. These developments are also starting to affect the political stability of...

ClubOrlov; Definancialisation; Deglobalisation; relocalisation.

Tue 2009-04-21 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: UK Begins Quantitative Easing

2009-03-11

Calculated Risk; UK Begins Quantitative Easing.

Tue 2009-04-21 00:00 EDT

Cold Call

by Landon Thomas Jr.; former Treasury secretary Robert E. Rubin embarrassed over Enron call; 2002-02-11

cold-calling.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Interview with Paul Kasriel

2006-12-11

interview; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Paul Kasriel.

Wed 2008-10-08 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Japan, Australia Inject $11 Billion to Combat Rising Money Market Rates

11; Australia Inject; Combat Rising Money Market Rates; Japan; naked capitalism.

Tue 2008-08-05 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: WCI Files For Chapter 11 Bankruptcy

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: homebuilder WCI Files For Chapter 11 Bankruptcy

Chapter 11 bankruptcy; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; WCI Files.

Fri 2008-02-15 00:00 EST

Money Matters: World Elite Rats Destroy U.S. Sovereignty

by Elaine Meinel Supkis; in comments: "people can't credit a handful of intelligent and very directed and motivated people who desire to launch a war...The 'leaders' mill around, hoping for excuses to draw the sword and attack. But the sort of people who launched the 9/11 attacks were classic in their organization and the way they carried out their plans. The US contribution was to ignore them, not interfere with them and to let them do as the attackers wished. The DESIRE of Bush for an attack was very great."

money matters; World Elite Rats Destroy U.S. Sovereignty.

Thu 2008-01-03 00:00 EST

Sudden Debt: Further On CDS

(2007-11-30)

CDS; further; Sudden Debt.

Sun 2007-12-02 00:00 EST

Speech, Bernanke --Deflation-- November 21, 2002

Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here; remarks by Governor Ben S. Bernanke, 2002-11-21; policy responses available to cure deflation; "Sustained deflation can be highly destructive...and should be strongly resisted"; Helicopter Ben orgin

2002; Bernanke; deflation; November 21; speech.

Fri 2007-11-30 00:00 EST

Five Things You Need to Know: Why Should You Care About LIBOR?; Risk Aversion Leads to Risk Aversion: Financial News - Yahoo!

Five Things You Need to Know: Why Should You Care About LIBOR?; Risk Aversion Leads to Risk Aversion, by Kevin Depew (minyanvill); watching LIBOR; banks hoarding cash, reluctant to lend (2007-11-16)

care; financial News; know; LIBOR; needed; risk aversion; Risk Aversion Leads; thing; Yahoo.

Wed 2007-09-19 00:00 EDT

Crude Designs: The Rip-Off of Iraq's Oil Wealth - UN Security Council - Global Policy Forum

Crude Designs: The Rip-Off of Iraq's Oil Wealth, by Greg Muttitt - UN Security Council - Global Policy Forum (2005-11)

crudely designed; Global Policy Forum; Iraq's Oil Wealth; RIP; UN Security Council.

Sun 2007-07-01 00:00 EDT

Inflation of the nation -- it's there. - Nov. 14, 2003

Inflation of the nation -- it's there. By Justin Lahart; 2003-11-4; understating inflation; housing adjustments using "owners' equivalent rent"

14; 2003; Inflation; nation; Nov.

Fri 2007-04-27 00:00 EDT

New York Press - MATT TAIBBI -

Are You suprised ? by Matt Taibbi; The White House Press Corps politely grabs its ankles. 2003-03-11

Matt Taibbi; New York press.

Mon 2006-09-11 00:00 EDT

America's warrior nation - The legacy of 9/11

America's warrior nation - The legacy of 9/11, by Gore Vidal

9 11; America's warrior nation; legacy.

Wed 2005-02-09 00:00 EST

Reason: Neal Stephenson's Past,

Reason: Neal Stephensons Past, Present, and Future: The author of the widely praised Baroque Cycle on science, markets, and post-9/11 America

Neal Stephenson's; reasons.