Tue 2010-04-20 10:58 EDT

Get the Yuan Right, Prove Pundits Wrong: Hype over an 'imminent' increase in yuan value ignores China's greater need for higher interest rates and fewer bubbles

Andy Xie

Unless China exits its economic stimulus quickly, the nation's inflation rate could rise to double digit levels sooner than many expect. The right sequence of events for a proper response to inflation would be to raise interest rates and then, if necessary, move the yuan exchange rate. But acting on the currency first, especially in small steps, would further inflate China's property bubble and inflation, potentially leading to a major economic crisis in two years. A small increase in the yuan's value would fail to resolve two pressing problems: inflationary pressure at home, and political pressure from the United States. Moreover, a small appreciation would attract hot money, stoking inflationary pressure...

bubble; higher interest rate; hype; imminent; increased; proving pundits wrong; Yuan right; yuan value ignores China's greater need.

Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2010-01-07 19:07 EST

Class Warfare American Style

Jesse

Matt Taibbi's reaction to the ZeroHedge story with regard to Turbo Tim's lifting of the government support on Christmas Eve for the GSE's was exactly my own. You can read it in its entirety here. What he does not overtly say is that this is class warfare, and it is becoming worse in the US than at any time since the 1930's. And the outcome of this will be a fundamental test of the US commitment to its republic. The media stokes the viewing public into emotionally-based and virulently distracting arguments about liberal versus conservative, while the gentried class skins them all alive.

Class Warfare American Style; Jesse's Café Américain.

Fri 2009-01-16 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: Cautionary Tales: Central Bank Liquidity Injections Made Crises Worse in Latin America

Carmine Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff; ``authorities found it difficult to mop up the liquidity they had created. Rapid growth in money supply stoked serious inflation''

cautionary tale; Central Bank Liquidity Injections Made Crises Worse; Latin America; naked capitalism.