PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM Thu 2010-09-16 16:15 EDT

CREDIT SUISSE: 6 BULLISH FACTS ABOUT HOUSING

TPC

Here's a contrarian view for you. Credit Suisse says the fears about housing are well overdone. In their analysis they cite 6 different bullish factors that should help to bolster house prices in the USA...The government now owns or guarantees about 70% of US mortgage debt...Valuation is extremely cheap on all measures...Delinquency ratios, charge-off and foreclosure rates seem to have peaked...Housing starts are about 1m below trend demand of housing units -- based on household formation and replacement demand... * Distressed sales (short-sales, foreclosures and REO sales) are less than a third of the total, after peaking at almost half in 2009...Housing as a proportion of GDP is now just 2.2%, compared with a long-run average of 4.5%...

6 BULLISH FACTS; Credit Suisse; Housing; PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM.

Calculated Risk Wed 2010-09-08 17:55 EDT

Freddie Mac: $4.7 billion Loss, REO Inventory increases 79% YoY

CalculatedRisk

Freddie Mac reported: "a net loss of $4.7 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2010, compared to a net loss of $6.7 billion for the quarter ended March 31, 2010." and the FHFA requested another $1.8 billion from Treasury...Freddie Mac reported that their REO inventory increased 79% year over year, from 34,699 in Q2 2009 to 62,178 in Q2 2010...

4; 7; Calculated Risk; Freddie Mac; losses; REO Inventory increases 79; YoY.

zero hedge Fri 2009-10-23 09:05 EDT

Fitch Expects CMBS Loss Severity To Rise Markedly Next Year

As anyone who has spent even a day looking at securitization tranching or CDS trading will tell you, there are two critical components to any investment that involves risky fixed income: cumulative loss probability and loss severity...artificial delays in bringing the CRE market to fair value in terms of delinquencies and REOs going to foreclosures will simply result in much lower eventual recoveries...the temporary reprieves granted to many leveraged securities will come back to bite investors when defaults eventually pick up again, however with the result being loss rates which will be much higher than default expectations.

Fitch Expects CMBS Loss Severity; Rise Markedly; years; Zero Hedge.

Bruce Krasting Fri 2009-09-04 18:30 EDT

Open Letter to FHFA's New Director Edward DeMarco - A Proposal for the Agency REO/Preferred Shares

Bruce Krasting

Let me welcome you to your new responsibilities. You have a very important job. There are a significant number of people in the financial world who lie awake at night worrying about the mortgage lenders you are responsible for. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHLBs hold or guaranty $6.3 Trillion in residential mortgages. It is simply not possible for the US to get out of the mess we are in unless these Agencies are stabilized. Should those Agencies fail, all that has been done to heal the US financial sector will have been wasted. In a significant manner, your success or failure will determine the medium term course of the US economy.

Agency REO/Preferred Shares; Bruce Krasting; FHFA's New Director Edward DeMarco; Open Letter; proposed.

Sun 2008-05-18 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Mike Morgan: Decession or Depression?

"nventory of homes is now beyond a two year supply and growing, while prices are falling off the cliff." "at least a third of todays builders will be bankrupt within the next 18 months."largest source of inventory is the homes moving through the foreclosure process" "The snakes have moved out of the mortgage business and into the REO disposition business."

Decession; Depression; Mike Morgan; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Fri 2007-11-30 00:00 EST

Calculated Risk: Florida REO: Priced Below 2002 New Home Price

2002 new 122K, 2006 260K, 2007 foreclosed; asking 100K!

2002 New Home Price; Calculated Risk; Florida REO; Price.