dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

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Sun 2009-09-20 14:12 EDT

America's Exhausted Paradigm: Macroeconomic Causes of the Financial Crisis and Great Recession | The New America Foundation

This report traces the roots of the current financial crisis to a faulty U.S. macroeconomic paradigm. One flaw in this paradigm was the neo-liberal growth model adopted after 1980 that relied on debt and asset price inflation to drive demand. A second flaw was the model of U.S. engagement with the global economy that created a triple economic hemorrhage of spending on imports, manufacturing job losses, and off-shoring of investment. Deregulation and financial excess are important parts of the story, but they are not the ultimate cause of the crisis. Instead, they facilitated the housing bubble and are actually part of the neo-liberal model, their function being to fuel demand growth based on debt and asset price inflation. The old post-World War II growth model based on rising middle-class incomes has been dismantled, while the new neo-liberal growth model has imploded. The United States needs a new economic paradigm and a new growth model, but as yet this challenge has received little attention from policymakers or economists.

America's Exhausted Paradigm; Financial Crisis; Great Recession; Macroeconomic Causes; New America Foundation.

Taibblog Sun 2009-09-20 09:51 EDT

Will Obama listen to ex-Fed chief Paul Volcker's warnings?

So former Fed chief Paul Volcker yesterday was spouting off about how nuts it is that certain ``too big to fail'' commercial banks that receive mountains of public money are allowed to run around acting like high-risk hedge funds...This would be meaningful if the Economic Recovery Board that Volcker runs for Obama were actually a chief policymaking center for the president. But the reality is that the Volcker group is a kind of show-pony the Obama administration kept on as a way to give consolation jobs to the more progressive economic advisers who led them through the campaign season, people like University of Chicago professor Austan Goolsbee...Obama did a bit of a bait-and-switch, hiring progressives to run his campaign and jettisoning them once he got into office. I hear about this phenomenon from different corners of the policymaking universe, from health care to defense and intelligence spending. But my sense is that the switch was most violent in the realm of economic policy...

ex-Fed chief Paul Volcker's warnings; Obama listen; Taibblog.

Asia Times Online Thu 2009-09-17 09:23 EDT

POWER WITHOUT CREDIBILITY : A lost decade ahead

The US Federal Reserve faces an intractable unemployment problem. Households, their wealth savaged by the financial crisis and their job security threatened, are now paying off debts and cutting back on purchases. Until consumer spending picks up, no recovery can come.

Asia Times Online; credibility; lost decade ahead; Power.

Wed 2009-09-16 19:19 EDT

Why Default on U.S. Treasuries is Likely | Library of Economics and Liberty

Almost everyone is aware that federal government spending in the United States is scheduled to skyrocket, primarily because of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Recent "stimulus" packages have accelerated the process. Only the naively optimistic actually believe that politicians will fully resolve this looming fiscal crisis with some judicious combination of tax hikes and program cuts. Many predict that, instead, the government will inflate its way out of this future bind, using Federal Reserve monetary expansion to fill the shortfall between outlays and receipts. But I believe, in contrast, that it is far more likely that the United States will be driven to an outright default on Treasury securities, openly reneging on the interest due on its formal debt and probably repudiating part of the principal. Treasury default considered likely.

default; economic; liberties; libraries; likely; U. S. treasuries.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Tue 2009-09-01 15:42 EDT

Spending Collapses In All Generation Groups

It's no secret that boomers fearing an underfunded retirement have sharply cut spending. However, it's not just boomers cutting back. Consumer attitudes toward debt have changed across all age groups.

generation group; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; spending collapse.

Fri 2009-06-26 00:00 EDT

Jesse's Café Américain: A Final Word on Inflation and Deflation

Jesse's Café Américain: A Final Word on Inflation and Deflation; ``serious monetary inflation is triggered by excessive government debt obligations, and not private debt, that can no longer be adequately serviced by a productive real economy and domestic taxation...the output gap is no sure barrier to this type of inflation is that it ironically serves to feed it in the presence of profligate government spending, since it dampens tax revenues and domestic GDP.

deflation; final words; Inflation; Jesse's Café Américain.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: Pimco's Gross Calls for US to Spend Trillions to Save the Economy

economy; naked capitalism; Pimco's Gross Calls; save; spending trillions.

Mon 2008-07-07 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment: The Outlook for Inflation and the Likelihood of $60 Oil - July 7, 2008

"government spending expansion, regardless of the form, will tend to raise the marginal utility of goods and services while lowering the marginal utility of government liabilities.", hence encouraging inflation

2008; 60 oil; Hussman Funds; Inflation; July 7; likelihood; outlook; weekly market comments.

Mon 2008-06-30 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Shiller's Keynesian Claptrap

"We are in this mess because consumers and the government were both spending more money than they have, year in and year out, racking up debts well beyond their ability to finance them."

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Shiller's Keynesian Claptrap.

Mon 2008-06-30 00:00 EDT

Thomas Palley >> Demythologizing Central Bankers and the Great Moderation

abandoned commitment to full employment, asset price inflation and financial innovation, increased debt-financed spending; 2008-04-02

Demythologizing Central Bankers; great Moderation; Thomas Palley.

Thu 2008-06-19 00:00 EDT

Ron Paul and Dwight D. Eisenhower -- True Patriots by Jim Quinn

Ron Paul and Dwight D. Eisenhower - True Patriots by Jim Quinn; If as a country we continue to allow our politicians and their military industrial complex corporate sponsors to spend $700+ billion per year on weapons, to the detriment of higher education, alternative energy projects, and national infrastructure needs...as deficits accumulate, the dollar plummets, and inflation rears its ugly head, our great country will decline as other empires who overstepped their bounds declined"

Dwight D. Eisenhower; Jim Quinn; Ron Paul; true patriot.

Thu 2008-06-12 00:00 EDT

Angry Bear: Kudlow's Supply-Side Stupidity: Less Savings = More Investment!

Angry Bear: Kudlow's Supply-Side Stupidity: Less Savings = More Investment!; tax deferral not tax cut unless accompanied by spending cuts

Angry Bear; investment; Kudlow's Supply-Side Stupidity; save.

Mon 2008-06-09 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment - The Fed's Policy Rule: Regret-Minimax - June 9, 2008

"government spending is a much stronger determinant of persistent inflation trends than money itself."

2008; Fed's Policy Rule; Hussman Funds; June 9; Regret-Minimax; weekly market comments.

Mon 2008-04-21 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Consumer Spending Break-Down : April 2008

Hussman Funds - Consumer Spending Break-Down, by William Hester : April 2008

April 2008; Consumer Spending Break; Hussman Funds.

Thu 2008-04-17 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Consumer Spending Mirage

Consumer Spending Mirage; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Tue 2007-11-13 00:00 EST

Hussman Funds - A Brief Economics Primer

inflation; monetary policy; taxation; goverment spending; recession (2001)

Brief Economics Primer; Hussman Funds.

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