zero hedge Wed 2009-11-25 11:52 EST

Albert Edwards Calls For The Next Black Swan: Expect Yuan Devaluation Following Deep 2010 Downturn

With everyone and their grandmother screeching that it is about time for China to inflate the renminbi, despite that such an action would be economic and social suicide for the world's most populous country, SocGen's Albert Edwards once again stalks out the Black Swan in left field and posits the contrarian view de jour: China will aggressively devalue the yuan following a deep 2010 downturn coupled with escalating trade wars. As Edwards says: "I think the next 18 months will see major ructions in the financial markets. The consequences of a double-dip back into recession next year require some lateral thinking. If the carry trade unwind results in a turbo-charged dollar, any collapse in the China economic bubble will be doubly destructive to commodity prices.

Albert Edwards Calls; Black Swan; Deep 2010 downturn; Expect Yuan Devaluation; Zero Hedge.

naked capitalism Thu 2009-11-19 10:43 EST

Roubini Predicts ``Mother of All Carry Trade Unwinds''

Nouriel Roubini has officially left the ``hedging your bets on the economy'' camp. He has declared the markets to be frothy because super low dollar borrowing rates have turned the greenback into the funding currency for the carry trade. Far more important than the peppy rally in the stock market is the resumption of early 2007 style risk taking in the credit markets.

carry trade unwind; mother; naked capitalism; Roubini predicted.

Tue 2008-04-01 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Bear Conspiracy Theories and Carry Trade Unwind

Bear Conspiracy Theories; carry trade unwind; naked capitalism.

Sun 2007-11-25 00:00 EST

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Slamming on the brakes in China

global credit crunch; US slowdown threatens Chinese growth; dollar repatriation ahead? carry trade unwind building

brake; China; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Slams.