Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Fri 2009-10-23 08:47 EDT

Where The Hell Is The Outrage?

Michael Shedlock

The number of articles and opinions on Goldman Sachs earnings, bonuses, and influence pedaling over the past several days is quite stunning. Many have pointed out the problems; few have expressed outrage over what is happening in general, not just at Goldman Sachs... I am outraged and not just about Goldman Sachs, but about a process that allows, even encourages political pandering, by time and time again rewarding leveraged riverboat gamblers and failed institutions and at taxpayer expense...

hell; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Outrage.

The IRA Analyst Mon 2009-09-21 17:23 EDT

Exposure at Default: As Banks Shrink, So Does the Economy

...before Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and the other G-20 finance ministers set about to raise capital levels, they need to understand that the earnings of the banking industry are going to be impaired for years as the cost of resolving failed banks is repaid. Restoring solvency is the first issue for many banks, then we can talk about increased capital and restrictions on risk taking equally. And as the banking industry shrinks defensively in order to conserve capital and fund liabilities impaired by realized losses, the credit available to the US economy also shrinks. You can't have economic growth without credit growth...Bottom line is that deflation is still the chief threat to the US economy, driven by a relentless contraction in bank and nonbank credit. Until we see a restoration of the market for nonbank finance and a sustained turn in the EAD of the large bank peer group, which accounts for almost 70% of the entire US industry balance sheet, we do not believe that any economic recovery will be meaningful in terms of jobs or asset prices.

Banks Shrink; default; economy; exposure; IRA Analyst.

zero hedge Fri 2009-08-28 17:15 EDT

The Oil-Gas Six Sigma Dislocation

The CFTC has earned its stripes by allowing speculators to take the oil to natty relationship to unprecedented arb levels. Represented in energy content equivalents, where oil traditionally has been in the 6x-12x range for gas, the most recent reading is 26.36! This is, as the chart indicates, your six sigma event for the day. A long NG1 - short CL1 arb may take some abuse but absent Amaranth coming out of somewhere (and even they were eventually prosecuted), this relationship should collapse to some semblance of normalcy. Although in this bizarro market it is guaranteed to do the opposite of what any fundamental or technical relationships dictate.

Oil gas; Sigma Dislocation; Zero Hedge.

ClubOrlov Wed 2009-08-26 10:59 EDT

The new new money

kollapsnik

It's official: The government in Beijing has announced that the Yuan can now be used in international trade. Their mouthpiece for this occasion was the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, a private entity, which made the announcement on their behalf. By the end of this year, it is expected that fully 50% of all transactions with Hong Kong will be denominated in the Yuan. In turn, Hong Kong re-exports 90% of its Chinese imports. Importer #1 is the European Union; importer #2 is the United States. Some of these countries may soon find themselves hard-pressed to earn enough Yuan to continue importing Chinese-made products. This is only the next small step in Beijing's "policy of small steps." Already the Chinese government has ramped down its purchases of US... US dollar losing reserve status; yuan-denominated accounts available in Hong Kong.

ClubOrlov; new new money.

Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Guest post: How big banks earned so much money this quarter

``profits coming courtesy of Federal Government largesse''

big bank earnings; Guest Post; money; naked capitalism; quarter.

Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

Terms of Service

Summers Earned Millions in D.E. Shaw Salary, Bank Speech Fees - Bloomberg.com

services; term.

Tue 2009-04-21 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment: Wishful Thinking - April 20, 2009

``The current bounce was fueled by a combination of deteriorating but less bad than expected economic reports (therefore counting as upside surprises), as well as what can only be considered misleading and semi-fraudulent earnings reports from distressed financial companies''

2009; April 20; Hussman Funds; weekly market comments; wished think.

Fri 2009-01-16 00:00 EST

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment: The Long-Term Gets Shorter - January 12, 2009

durations shifts in stocks as prices and earnings fall

2009; Hussman Funds; January 12; long-term; shorter; weekly market comments.

Sun 2008-11-23 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: "Fannie: Going Concern, but I am Getting Concerned"

``the pervasive story of this entire era: all of the financial firm earnings eaten up by subsequent losses''

concerns; Fannie; going concern; naked capitalism.

Wed 2008-06-18 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Bank Earnings Won't Recover

Bank earnings; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; recover.

Mon 2007-11-12 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

Minyan Peter: Bank Earnings Post Mortem (2007-10-26); originate for resale/securitization business model broken; balance sheets growing; credit quality deteriorating; formerly abundant credit becoming scarce resource

Minyanville.

Mon 2007-11-12 00:00 EST

Hussman Funds - How and Why Options Should Be Expensed From Corporate Earnings

Option grants dilute shareholder value; by John P. Hussman

corporations earnings; expensive; Hussman Funds; optionality.

Thu 2007-11-01 00:00 EDT

Funhouse Mirrors #1: Personal Savings Rate - iTulip.com Forums

overstating GDP; understating inflation; personal savings rate reveals failure of earnings to offset inflation

1; com forums; funhouse Mirror; iTulip; personal savings rate.

Tue 2007-10-02 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Bank Balance Sheets and Earnings

bank balance sheets; Earnings; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Tue 2007-10-02 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

Bank Earnings 101: Banks are generally leveraged 10:1; by Minyan Peter (2007-09-10)

Minyanville.

Sun 2007-09-23 00:00 EDT

FNM: Message Board for Fannie Mae - InvestorVillage

Fannie Mae - Goldmans Quasi-Monopoly Earnings Report - FNM - InvestorVillage; Goldman-Sachs alumni running government, regulatory agencies

Fannie Mae; FNM; InvestorVillage; messaging board.