dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

exposure Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

cdo Exposure (1); Client Exposure (2); Counterparty exposure (1); country's exposure (1); Credit Default Swaps Exposure (4); current exposure (1); derivative exposure (2); Dollar exposure (1); Equities Exposure (2); European Banks Face Devastating Exposure (2); Foreign currency exposure (1); generate highly volatile equity exposure (1); Goldman Sachs astronomical credit exposure (1); markets exposure (1); multi-trillion fiatsco exposure (1); report describes FNM's exposure (1); risky mortgage exposure 10x capital base (1); S exposure (2); seller-financed sales retain exposure (1); subprime exposure (1); taxpayer exposure (1); Top 20 Credit Default Swaps Exposure Net Notional Basis (2); unaudited derivatives exposure (1); Wells-Fargo HELOC exposure exceeds capital (1).

naked capitalism Thu 2010-05-20 15:44 EDT

Germany's Short Selling Bans: Prudence, Populism or Bank Protection?

...Now why do the Germans in particular feel a tad nervous? Well, Germany, like the UK and Switzerland, has a banking system so large relative to its economy that it cannot credibly backstop it if it goes seriously off the rails. The problem is more acute in Germany because it does not control its own currency (as it cannot simply throw whatever it takes at the banks and if need be, ``print'' later; by contrast, the risk to the UK and Swiss banking system comes from its banks' foreign currency exposures)...The bailout plan shifted risk from the periphery to the core of Europe, and the core, upon examination, does not look too solid. Prepare yourself for a rough ride.

Banks Protected; Germany's short-selling ban; naked capitalism; population; prudence.

zero hedge Wed 2010-05-19 11:37 EDT

Guest Post: Goldman's CDOs Had Nothing to Do With the Real Estate Bubble

If Goldman Sachs wanted to reduce its exposure to subprime mortgage investments, why didn't it simply sell the assets it owned? Two reasons: First, those large sales would have sent a signal that something was terribly, terribly wrong, and thereby pushed prices down further. That's how supply and demand normally works. Second, Goldman professed to be market maker, which uses its trading book to instill confidence. It ostensibly bought, sold and inventoried mortgage securities to provide stability and liquidity to the marketplace. Of course, we now know that such market confidence was entirely misplaced. To sidestep these issues, Goldman and other major banks found a solution that subverted the laws of supply and demand, and escaped the price discovery of a transparent marketplace. They fabricated synthetic CDOs, such as Abacus 2007 AC-1. These toxic assets, invented out of thin air, made the meltdown worse than it otherwise would have been...

Goldman's CDOs; Guest Post; real estate bubble; Zero Hedge.

zero hedge Fri 2010-04-23 20:02 EDT

An Overview Of The Fed's Intervention In Equity Markets Via The Primary Dealer Credit Facility

Recently, Zero Hedge presented a snapshot analysis of the various securities that made up the triparty repo agreement involving JPM, Lehman and the Fed. We uncovered numerous bankrupt companies' equities that were being pledged as collateral for what ultimately was taxpayer exposure. To our surprise, this discovery is not an exception, and in fact in the days immediately preceding the collapse of Bear Stearns first, and subsequently, Lehman Brothers, the Federal Reserve established and refined a program that permitted banks to pledge virtually any security as collateral, including not just investment grade bonds and higher ranked securities, but also stocks of companies, the riskiest investment possible, and a guaranteed way for taxpayer capital to evaporate in the context of a disintegrating financial system, all with the purpose of bailing out Wall Street's major institutions. On two occasions last year: on March 16, 2008, and subsequently on September 14, 2008, the Federal Reserve first established what is known as the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF), and subsequently amended it, so that the Fed, in becoming the lender of last resort, would allow any collateral, up to and including stocks, to be funded by the Federal Reserve's credit facility, in order to prevent the $4.5 trillion repo financing system from imploding. By doing so, the Federal Reserve effectively gave a Carte Blanche to primary dealers to purchase any and all equities they so desired, with such purchases immediately being funded by the US taxpayer, via the PDCF. In essence, this was equivalent to the Fed purchasing equities by itself through a Primary Dealer agent...

equity markets; Fed's interventions; overview; Primary Dealers Credit Facility; Zero Hedge.

Jesse's Café Américain Sat 2010-04-03 09:48 EDT

Whistleblower Speaks Out On J. P. Morgan's Market Manipulation - Reports Violations to the CFTC

Do we have another Harry Markopolos here, describing in detail the manipulation of the gold market by J.P. Morgan to the CFTC? How does this square with the testimony today from the CFTC Commissioners, who seem to indicate that the markets are functioning extremely well, and that investor can have full confidence in them? I am led to understand that Mr. McGuire had offered to testify before the CFTC today, and that he was refused admittance. I do not know him, or the position he is in within the trading community. I cannot therefore assess his credibility or the validity of any evidence which he may present or possess. But I have the feeling that nothing will come of this...What seems particularly twisted about this is that JPM is the custodian of the largest silver ETF (SLV). Is anyone auditing that ETF, and watching any conflicts of interest and self-trading? Multiple counterparty claims on the same bullion? If you ever wanted to see a good reason for the Volcker rule, this is it. These jokers are one of the US' largest banks, with trillions of dollars in unaudited derivatives exposure, and they seem to be engaging in trading practices like Enron did before it collapsed...

CFTC; J. P. Morgan's Market Manipulation; Jesse's Café Américain; reported violations; Whistleblowers speak.

naked capitalism Mon 2009-12-28 16:40 EST

Will Continued Stealth Bailout of Housing Produce Unwanted Side Effects?

The Treasury Department...considerably increased its Freddie and Fannie safety net, by removing all limits on the amounts on offer (an increase from a ceiling of $400 billion) and simultaneously allowing the two GSEs to increase their balance sheets near term. Previously, they had been required to shrink their portfolios by 10% per annum; now it is their ceiling which will be lowered by 10% a year, and that ceiling is much higher than their current exposures ($900 billion versus roughly $760 billion for Freddie and $770 billion for Fannie as of the end of November)...So one has to conclude that the agencies might well (ahem, are likely to) throw their firepower behind the ``prop up the mortgage market'' program, particularly with Obama's ratings plunging and mid-term elections coming this year. But if this comes to pass, what might the collateral damage be?

Continued Stealth Bailout; Housing Produce Unwanted Side Effects; naked capitalism.

naked capitalism Wed 2009-11-25 11:37 EST

Marc Faber: ``I don't think that you'll see gold below $1,000 per ounce probably ever''

...cash is now trash with zero interest rates. So holding cash means underperforming. Bonds present an unfavourable risk/reward. Therefore, commodities and precious metals look attractive. One must also have equities exposure. Interestingly, he makes a fairly explicit statement in favour of peak oil from about 1:40 in the second video below. The world is adding less in oil reserves than it consumes. That necessarily means a tighter supply/demand dynamic, especially given the demand in emerging economies for oil.

000; 1; Marc Faber; naked capitalism; ounce probably; see gold; Think.

Jesse's Café Américain Tue 2009-10-13 20:23 EDT

Central Banks More Aggressively Reducing US Dollar Exposure In Their Reserve Portfolios

``Global central banks are getting more serious about diversification, whereas in the past they used to just talk about it,'' said Steven Englander, a former Federal Reserve researcher who is now the chief U.S. currency strategist at Barclays in New York. ``It looks like they are really backing away from the dollar.''

aggressively reduced; central bank; Dollar exposure; Jesse's Café Américain; reserve portfolios.

zero hedge Mon 2009-10-12 10:05 EDT

How Currency Devaluation Can Be A Bad Thing

Even as the dollar keeps hitting new daily lows, which continues being seen as a positive for the stock market, if not so positive for what little remains of world trade, not much has been said about the efforts by Latvia to do all it can to devalue its currency in the wake of a failed bond auction. The consequences are already metastasizing, as seen by the increasing volatility of related currencies, particularly the Swedish Krona which has been hit hard against the Euro on concerns of the country's exposure in Baltic states.

bad things; Currency Devaluation; Zero Hedge.

Sun 2009-10-11 18:48 EDT

The Ongoing Plight of the U.S. "Nightcrawler" - Part 2 | zero hedge

We're just as scroomed as we were a year ago--skying stock markets and gold-hating trolls posting "Gold isn't money" notwithstanding. There is absolutey ZERO chance that the Fed raises their Fed Funds Politburo rates, and a ONE HUNDRED PERCENT CERTAINTY that both the Fed and Uncle Sugar MUST continue their monetizations, back stops and being the "lenders, insurers, and market of last resort" for all things credit, but especially the McHousing market where they have multi-trillion fiatsco exposure. So, it is little wonder that the U.S. fiatsco is getting pounded in the currency casino and that people are piling into PMs in droves--even going so far as to DEMAND physical delivery from the corrupt exchanges, even as the jawboning and pie-holing by the Fed Heads and Treasury twerps continues unabated. Because we are still very much in the midst of the "convulsions" of collapse AND the massive monetary and fiscal insanity the Fed and Uncle are undertaking to fight them.

nightcrawlers; Ongoing Plight; Part 2; U.S.; Zero Hedge.

Jesse's Café Américain Sat 2009-10-10 11:52 EDT

Beta Monster: The Most Dangerous Banks In the World

The most leveraged bank by far is the-investment-bank-which-must-not-be-named. It is followed by J.P. Morgan on a percentage basis, but JPM is far larger nominally than these charts indicate because of its much larger capital base. Its in the nature of the difference between a cardshark (GS) and a pawnshop (JPM). Or perhaps just the capital requirements of the short versus the long con. [Goldman Sachs astronomical credit exposure, trading revenue, derivatives exposure]

Beta Monsters; Dangerous Banks; Jesse's Café Américain; world.

Tue 2009-09-22 08:29 EDT

Guest Post: Satyajit Das on Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Finance

One year ago, AIG was brought to the brink of bankruptcy as a result its exposure under credit default swaps (''CDS'') (a form of credit insurance). Asset backed securities and Collateralised Debt Obligations (''CDOs''), which lived up to its cheery nickname Chernobyl Death Obligation, brought the financial system to the edge of collapse...If you assumed that these events meant that wild beast of derivatives would be tamed, then you would be wrong. History tells us that there will be cosmetic changes to the functioning of the market but business as usual will resume in the not too distant futureIf you assumed that these events meant that wild beast of derivatives would be tamed, then you would be wrong. History tells us that there will be cosmetic changes to the functioning of the market but business as usual will resume in the not too distant future.

Dr. Jekyll; Guest Post; Mr. Hyde Finance; Satyajit Das.

The IRA Analyst Mon 2009-09-21 17:23 EDT

Exposure at Default: As Banks Shrink, So Does the Economy

...before Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and the other G-20 finance ministers set about to raise capital levels, they need to understand that the earnings of the banking industry are going to be impaired for years as the cost of resolving failed banks is repaid. Restoring solvency is the first issue for many banks, then we can talk about increased capital and restrictions on risk taking equally. And as the banking industry shrinks defensively in order to conserve capital and fund liabilities impaired by realized losses, the credit available to the US economy also shrinks. You can't have economic growth without credit growth...Bottom line is that deflation is still the chief threat to the US economy, driven by a relentless contraction in bank and nonbank credit. Until we see a restoration of the market for nonbank finance and a sustained turn in the EAD of the large bank peer group, which accounts for almost 70% of the entire US industry balance sheet, we do not believe that any economic recovery will be meaningful in terms of jobs or asset prices.

Banks Shrink; default; economy; exposure; IRA Analyst.

Bruce Krasting Fri 2009-09-04 18:31 EDT

Fannie Has .9 Trillion in Troubled Loans - 8K

Fannie Mae's 8k has an interesting slide. It is a look at their questionable assets. The slide is not easy to read. It can be found in the 2009 Second Quarter Supplement, on page 5. The report describes FNM's exposure to problematic classes of mortgages on their book. That total comes to a whopping .9 Trillion. The total book of business is $2.7 Trillion, fully 32% of their book is troubled.

8k; 9 trillion; Bruce Krasting; Fannie; troubled loans.

Bruce Krasting Fri 2009-09-04 18:29 EDT

FHFA Report on Restructurings -- Everything is Going Fine

The FHFA released a report on their refinancing activity for the year to date. As usual it was cast in glowing terms. It is clear that FHFA is doing something. In my view that `something' is consistently the wrong thing...No private lender in their right mind would make a 125% loan. These are just losses to be. The FHFA is perpetuating the cycle of default. They are making things worse, not better...No single entity should have this much exposure to the credit market. It defines systemic risk.

Bruce Krasting; FHFA reported; going fine; restructuring.

Thu 2009-02-26 00:00 EST

Jesse's Café Américain: European Banks Face Devastating Exposure to Emerging Markets

Jesse's Café Américain: European Banks Face Devastating Exposure to Emerging Markets

emerging markets; European Banks Face Devastating Exposure; Jesse's Café Américain.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

Jesse's Café Américain: Top 20 Credit Default Swaps Exposure Net Notional Basis

Jesse's Café Américain: Top 20 Credit Default Swaps Exposure Net Notional Basis

Jesse's Café Américain; Top 20 Credit Default Swaps Exposure Net Notional Basis.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

Jesse's Café Américain: DTCC Report Omits A Significant Amount of Credit Default Swap Exposure

Jesse's Café Américain: DTCC Report Omits A Significant Amount of Credit Default Swap Exposure

Credit Default Swaps Exposure; DTCC Report Omits; Jesse's Café Américain; significant amount.

Tue 2008-10-07 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment: The Beginning of Wisdom - October 6, 2008

``the present sentiment of panic is typically one that presents useful opportunities for gradually scaling into market exposure, as uncomfortable as it might feel over the short term''

2008; Begins; Hussman Funds; October 6; weekly market comments; wisdom.

Tue 2008-09-23 00:00 EDT

Jesse's Café Américain: China Seeks to Reduce Its Exposure to Dollar Assets

Jesse's Café Américain: China Seeks to Reduce Its Exposure to Dollar Assets

China seeks; dollar assets; exposure; Jesse's Café Américain; reduce.

Wed 2008-08-13 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: NewSpeak Watch: What Does "Sale" Mean? (LBO Loan Edition)

seller-financed sales retain exposure to devalued assets

LBO Loan Edition; meaning; naked capitalism; NewSpeak Watch; sales.

Tue 2008-05-13 00:00 EDT

Interfluidity :: Counterparty of last resort?

Fed purchasing mortgage-backed securities; Will Fed have contingent liabilities, counterparty exposures?

counterparty; Interfluidity; resort.

Wed 2008-05-07 00:00 EDT

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Fargoed

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Fargoed; Wells-Fargo HELOC exposure exceeds capital!

economic; Fargo; Market; watch; winter.

Tue 2008-03-18 00:00 EDT

Dealbreaker - A Wall Street Tabloid - Business News Headlines and Financial Gossip - Why JP Morgan Did It Leverage Loans and Client Exposure To Shaky Financial Instruments Held By Bear Gave JP Morgan Strong Incentives To Rescue Bear's Portfolio

Dealbreaker - A Wall Street Tabloid - Business News Headlines and Financial Gossip - Why JP Morgan Did It Leverage Loans and Client Exposure To Shaky Financial Instruments Held By Bear Gave JP Morgan Strong Incentives To Rescue Bear's Portfolio, by John Carney

Bear Gave JP Morgan Strong Incentives; business news headlines; Client Exposure; Dealbreaker; Financial Gossip; JP Morgan; Leveraged Loans; Rescue Bear's Portfolio; Shaky Financial Instruments Held; Wall Street tabloid.

Tue 2008-01-15 00:00 EST

DealBreaker.com

The Kitchen Sink Does Not Include $37.3 Billion In Subprime Exposure, by John Carney; Citigroup writedowns leave lots of CDO exposure

com; Dealbreaker.

Thu 2007-12-20 00:00 EST

Bear In Mind > Fannie Mae: Systemic time bomb

Bear In Mind > Fannie Mae: Systemic time bomb; half of issued debt bought by non-US investors; risky mortgage exposure 10x capital base; falling home prices drive foreclosures, huge Fannie Mae losses

Bear; Fannie Mae; mind; Systemic time bomb.

Fri 2007-11-30 00:00 EST

Sudden Debt: CDS: Phantom Menace

CDS notional amounts increased from 26 to 46 trillion in last year; "far more CDSs are written relative to the amounts outstanding in individual bonds and thus credit events will infect and destroy much more speculative capital"; "generate highly volatile equity exposure with minimal or even zero margin requirements"

CDS; Phantom Menace; Sudden Debt.