dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

Minyanville Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

Minyanville Professor Satyajit Das (3).

Minyanville Wed 2010-09-29 09:08 EDT

Excerpt From "Traders, Guns & Money" (Part 3)

Minyanville Professor Satyajit Das' book "Traders Guns & Money" is a wickedly comic exposé of the culture games and pure deceptions played out every day in trading rooms around the world. And played out with other people's money. Das is an international expert on financial derivatives and has more than 30 years of experience in the financial markets. Having worked on both the sell side and buy side for such banks as the Commonwealth Bank of Australia Citicorp Investment Bank Merrill Lynch and the TNT Group he now acts as a consultant advising banks and corporations and presenting

excerpts; gun; Minyanville; money; Part 3; Traders.

Mon 2010-09-20 19:04 EDT

Excerpt From "Traders, Guns & Money" (Part 2)

Minyanville Professor Satyajit Das' "Traders, Guns & Money" is a wickedly comic exposé of the culture, games, and pure deceptions played out every day in trading rooms around the world. And played out with other people's money...

excerpts; gun; money; Part 2; Traders.

Sat 2010-09-11 23:31 EDT

Excerpt From "Traders, Guns & Money" (Part 1)

Minyanville Professor Satyajit Das' "Traders, Guns & Money" is a wickedly comic exposé of the culture, games, and pure deceptions played out every day in trading rooms around the world. And played out with other people's money. Das is an international expert on financial derivatives and has more than 30 years of experience in the financial markets. Having worked on both the sell side and buy side for such banks as the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Citicorp Investment Bank, Merrill Lynch, and the TNT Group, he now acts as a consultant advising banks and corporations and presenting seminars on derivatives throughout the world...

excerpts; gun; money; Part 1; Traders.

Minyanville Sat 2010-08-21 10:33 EDT

How Pimco Is Holding American Homeowners Hostage

...According to Bill Gross ...the American economy can be saved only through ``full nationalization'' of the mortgage finance system and a massive ``jubilee'' of debt forgiveness for millions of underwater homeowners...As overlord of the fixed-income finance market [Pacific Investment Management Co. (Pimco)] generates billions annually in effort-free profits from its trove of essentially riskless US Treasury securities and federally guaranteed housing paper. Now Pimco wants to swell Uncle Sam's supply of this no-brainer paper even further -- adding upward of $2 trillion per year of what would be ``government-issue'' mortgages...This final transformation of American taxpayers into indentured servants of HIDC (the Housing Investment & Debt Complex) has been underway for a long time, and is now unstoppable because all principled political opposition to Pimco-style crony capitalism has been extinguished...At the heart of the matter is the statist Big Lie trumpeting the alleged public welfare benefits of the home-ownership society and subsidized real estate finance...the congregates of the HIDC lobby -- homebuilders, mortgage bankers, real estate brokers, Wall Street securitizers, property appraisers and lawyers, landscapers and land speculators, home improvement retailers and the rest -- have gotten their fill at the Federal trough. But the most senseless gift -- the extra-fat risk-free spread on Freddie and Fannie paper -- went to the great enablers of the mortgage debt boom, that is, the mega-funds like Pimco...there isn't a shred of evidence that all of this largese serves any legitimate public purpose whatsoever, and plenty of evidence that the HIDC boom has been deeply destructive...there are upward of 15-20 million American households that can't afford their current mortgages or will be strongly disinclined to service them once housing prices take their next -- and unpreventable -- leg down. But Pimco's gold-coast socialism is exactly the wrong answer. Rather than having their mortgages modified or forgiven, these households should be foreclosed upon, and the sooner the better...

Holding American Homeowners Hostage; Minyanville; PIMCO.

Minyanville Fri 2010-07-16 14:43 EDT

Intel Shows the 'Financialization' of Corporate America

To quote the company's own earnings headline: "Intel Reports Best Quarter Ever."While not taking anything away from the company's ability to deliver I'd strongly encourage readers to look at Intel's (INTC) balance sheet. To these eyes it's filled with financial assets...few have paid attention to what I term the "financialization" of corporate balance sheets, in which productive manufacturing assets have been increasingly replaced by various financial instruments, derivatives, and goodwill...because so much of corporate balance-sheet space is now a function of credit and market risk, financialization has created much tighter correlations to financial institutions than many currently think...And with corporate balance sheets more and more laden with financial instruments, it isn't just going to be product innovation that drives what earnings are ahead for companies like Intel.

Corporate America; Financial; Intel shows; Minyanville.

Minyanville Sun 2009-09-20 11:17 EDT

Our Marionette Economy

This morning in the Wall Street Journal Wells Fargo CEO John Stumpf is quoted saying ``If it's not a government program it's basically not getting done.'' While Stumpf's comment was targeted to the mortgage market and associated with a plea for Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) to raise their size limits so as to be able to pick up more jumbo mortgages I believe he nailed the current state of our economy: ``If it's not a government program it's basically not getting done.''...But to me, there's a fundamental flaw to the notion that the government can create a sustainable economic recovery...I kept coming back to a comment from Bennet Sedacca: ``They (the government) can make 'em bounce, but they can't make 'em fly.''

Marionette Economy; Minyanville.

Minyanville Sat 2009-09-05 11:47 EDT

Why Hanging On to UNG Is Risky Business

People have been up in arms for months now about the troubles at the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) the ETF designed to track the price of natural gas. And as far as I can tell rightly so. ETFs were meant to be a nearly frictionless relatively simple alternative to the clunky closed-end funds (CEFs) and managed products that our parents and grandparents had to contend with. But UNG recently traded at a 19% premium to its net asset value (NAV) -- behavior far more fitting a CEF...But since hand-wringing over UNG seems to be the consensus approach, here's a contrarian thought: UNG has, to date, tracked natural gas futures (NG) fairly well.

hang; Minyanville; Risky Business; UNG.

Minyanville Fri 2009-09-04 19:31 EDT

Five Reasons to Stay Cautious with UNG

I'll be staying away from this market for now. However, beware that if hurricane season isn't disruptive and the winter is mild, we can probably expect a major decline in NG prices all along the curve early next year as inventory levels are near record highs and available storage is virtually tapped out. This could devastate the natural gas producer stocks...Many investors think that various natural gas plays in the master limited partnerships (MLP) field (pipelines, processors, etc.) are immune to fluctuations in the price of natural gas. In the short term, this may be true in many cases depending on the type of contracts. However, it's not true in the medium term. I'd be wary of this space at this time as any sort of alteration in pricing of contracts will almost certainly elicit cuts in distributions to shareholders. And since virtually all owners of these stocks buy them for the distributions, any cuts in distributions will likely devastate the share prices -- far beyond what would be theoretically warranted.

Minyanville; reasons; stay cautious; UNG.

Minyanville Thu 2009-09-03 11:31 EDT

Tred Carefully When Trading UNG

The collapse of the natural gas market in the US has been breathtaking. And if you need anything else to worry about United States Natural Gas (UNG) -- which is in the midst of a massive liquidation -- is selling at a premium somewhere in the neighborhood of 20% relative to the spot price of the commodity. Thus the end to the carnage is not apparent.

Minyanville; Trading UNG; Tred Carefully.

Minyanville Sun 2009-08-30 15:08 EDT

How China Will Handle the Yuan

Ryan Krueger, Lance Lewis: Something is up with China and the yuan...What if it were close to revaluing against the dollar? We know it's fed up with funding US debt, but it can't stop funding it as long as it continues to peg to the dollar and is forced to buy dollars every day in order to hold down the yuan. The US isn't even its largest export market anymore. The EU is. The US consumer is broke. Why does China need to keep exporting cheap goods to the US if the US consumer can't buy them anyway?

China; handles; Minyanville; Yuan.

Tue 2008-08-19 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-A Tale of Two Markets, Part 3, by Bennet Sedacca; "spreads in the credit markets are at historically wide levels and show no signs of tightening"; AIG "just one of scores of companies that cannot finance themselves"; "stocks remain...as over-valued as I have seen in many years"

Minyanville.

Mon 2008-08-11 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-A Tale of Two Markets, Part 1, by Bennet Sedacca; Fannie bailout projections

Minyanville.

Mon 2008-07-14 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-Fannie, Freddie Expecting Bailout

Minyanville.

Thu 2008-06-05 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS - Voodoo Banking, Part 1, by Satyajit Das

Minyanville.

Thu 2008-06-05 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS - Voodoo Banking, Part 2, by Satyajit Das

Minyanville.

Tue 2008-05-20 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

What the ETF? by Minyan Peter, Minyanville; "a broadened investor base, particularly inexperienced investors, and enhanced liquidity have been critical elements of every financial bubble in history"; "for the first time in financial history, the bubbles -- in securitized debt and commodities -- are truly global phenomena"

Minyanville.

Sat 2008-05-17 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-Five Things You Need to Know: The Inflation Hysteria, by Kevin Depew; "Today's 'inflation' is illusory. It is the tail end of the Federal Reserve's mirage of economic production; credit creation."

Minyanville.

Thu 2008-02-14 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

Default Swaps Intensify Credit Crunch, by Rob Roy (Minyanville); "Counterparty risk may be greatest risk of all."; impending CDS blowup;

Minyanville.

Thu 2008-02-14 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

Default Swaps Intensify Credit Crunch, part 2

Minyanville.

Mon 2007-12-17 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

Citigroup's Move A Sign of Deflation, by Mr. Practical, minyanville; Citi takes 50B busted SIVs onto balance sheet

Minyanville.

Mon 2007-12-17 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

Minyan Mailbag: Deflation, The Fed and Control, by Mr. Practical; "all roads lead to a devastating deflation in the US", credit deflation bullish for USD

Minyanville.

Thu 2007-12-13 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

The Fed's New Auction System, by Mr Practical (Minyanville): "if the Fed is willing to pervert its balance sheet...the dollar will fall"

Minyanville.

Thu 2007-12-13 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

The Fed's Magic Tricks, by Mr Practical, Minyanville; watching discount rate; "banking system is seized up"

Minyanville.

Thu 2007-11-15 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

Carina CD-Oh-No; State Street CDO implosion, by Kevin Depew

Minyanville.

Mon 2007-11-12 00:00 EST

Minyanville -

Minyan Peter: Bank Earnings Post Mortem (2007-10-26); originate for resale/securitization business model broken; balance sheets growing; credit quality deteriorating; formerly abundant credit becoming scarce resource

Minyanville.

Thu 2007-10-18 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

Competing Wall Street Banks to Launch Incomprehensible Joint Venture to Bail Out Something You've Never Heard of Threatening to Do Something You Don't Understand to Something You Don't Care About, by Kevin Depew; MLEC critique

Minyanville.

Tue 2007-10-02 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

Bank Earnings 101: Banks are generally leveraged 10:1; by Minyan Peter (2007-09-10)

Minyanville.

Fri 2007-09-14 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

Minyan Mailbag: Has the Fed Added Liquidity to the Markets? "it is not the Fed that creates liquidity in an economy; it is the commercial banking system"

Minyanville.