zero hedge Sun 2009-09-13 15:40 EDT

Mortgage Bankers Association Q2 Delinquency Rate Update

Even the traditionally optimistic MBA is starting to acknowledge the reality of accelerating deterioration within commercial real estate, as well as the delinquency pick up in multi-family loans by the Agencies...Life Insurance companies are dramatically misreporting their delinquency rates in an apparent effort to present an overoptimistic picture, with the blessing of the administration and the accountants

Mortgage Bankers Association Q2 Delinquency Rate Update; Zero Hedge.

Satyajit Das's Blog - Fear & Loathing in Financial Products Sun 2009-08-30 12:20 EDT

El-dollardo Economics

In the 1980s, the Japanese were taking over the world. In the 1990s, it was going to be an ?Asian? century. These days the pundits are betting on the ?Chinese Age?. Like all such glib predictions, despite their superficial appeal, they mask complex undercurrents and issues that require careful study. Business journalist Michael Schuman's The Miracle: The Epic Story of Asia's Quest for Wealth. Paul Midler's Poorly Made in China; quality fade. Underlying both `The Miracle' and `Poorly Made in China' is a view of the emerging world best captured by the term `Orientalism', associated with Edward Said...the West's view of the East was shaped by political power and unequal commercial exchange. Said's work built on George Orwell's criticism of colonialism. Former Chinese premier Zhao Ziyang's secret journal `Prisoner of the State' provides antidote to a Western view of East Asia.

El-dollardo Economics; fears; financial products; loath; Satyajit Das's Blog.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Sun 2009-08-30 12:03 EDT

Greater Than One in Four FDIC Insured Institutions are Unprofitable; Bank Problem List at 15 Year High

Michael Shedlock

The second quarter 2009 Quarterly Banking Profile has some interesting charts and facts that inquiring minds will be interested in.Insured Institution Performance Higher Loss Provisions Lead to a $3.7 Billion Net LossMore Than One in Four Institutions Are UnprofitableCharge-Offs and Noncurrent Loans Continue to RiseNet Interest Margins Show Modest ImprovementIndustry Assets Decline by $238 BillionThe Industry Posts a Net Loss for the Quarter The Industry Posts a Net Loss for the Quarter Burdened by costs associated with rising levels of troubled loans and falling asset values, FDIC-insured commercial banks and savings institutions reported an aggregate net loss of $3.7 billion in the second quarter of 2009. Increased expenses for bad loans were chiefly responsible for the industry's loss. Insured institutions added $66.9 billion in loan-loss provisions to their reserves... ``Conventional wisdom regarding money supply suggests there is massive pent up inflation in the works as a result of the buildup of excess reserves...The reality is excessive debt and falling asset prices have rendered the best efforts of the Fed impotent. Banks are not well capitalized, they are insolvent, unwilling and unable to lend.''

15-year high; Bank problem listings; FDIC insured institutions; greater; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; unprofitable.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Wed 2009-08-26 16:00 EDT

Critically Under-Capitalized Banks Direct Result Of "Wonderful Chain of Stupidity"

Michael Shedlock

Last week the Wall Street Journal ran an article about how trust securities sank Guaranty Financial Group and six family-controlled Illinois banks in early July. Please consider In New Phase of Crisis, Securities Sink Banks. Federal officials on Thursday were poised to seize Guaranty Financial Group Inc., in what would be the 10th-largest bank failure in U.S. history. Guaranty's woes were caused by its investment portfolio, stuffed with deteriorating securities created from pools of mortgages originated by some of the nation's worst lenders. Delinquency rates on the holdings have soared as high as 40%, forcing write-downs last month that consumed all of the bank's capital. Guaranty is one of thousands of banks that invested in such securities, which were often highly rated but ultimately hinged on the health of... Security losses are a non-operating item and are listed after pre-tax operating income on the call report. This is very unusual and possibly reveals another cancer hiding on many banks balance sheets. those garbage trust-preferred securities problems are on top of the widely expected fallout from commercial real estate problems affecting small to medium-sized regional banks. Thus, banking woes are much deeper in many areas than either the FDIC or Fed is admitting.

Capitalized Banks Direct Result; Criticizes; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Stupid; Wonderful Chain.

ClubOrlov Wed 2009-08-26 10:59 EDT

The new new money

kollapsnik

It's official: The government in Beijing has announced that the Yuan can now be used in international trade. Their mouthpiece for this occasion was the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, a private entity, which made the announcement on their behalf. By the end of this year, it is expected that fully 50% of all transactions with Hong Kong will be denominated in the Yuan. In turn, Hong Kong re-exports 90% of its Chinese imports. Importer #1 is the European Union; importer #2 is the United States. Some of these countries may soon find themselves hard-pressed to earn enough Yuan to continue importing Chinese-made products. This is only the next small step in Beijing's "policy of small steps." Already the Chinese government has ramped down its purchases of US... US dollar losing reserve status; yuan-denominated accounts available in Hong Kong.

ClubOrlov; new new money.

Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Fed to Prop Up Commercial Real Estate Loan Pre Expected Implosion

Commercial Real Estate Loan Pre Expected Implosion; Fed; naked capitalism; prop.

Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

Jesse's Café Américain: Second Largest US Commercial Retail Real Estate Company Files for Bankruptcy

Jesse's Café Américain: Second Largest US Commercial Retail Real Estate Company Files for Bankruptcy; General Growth Properties bankruptcy

bankruptcy; Commercial Retail Real Estate Company Files; Jesse's Café Américain; largest.

Wed 2009-05-20 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Commercial Real Estate Limbo; Lenders Ignore Defaults

Commercial Real Estate Limbo; Lenders Ignore Defaults; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Wed 2009-04-01 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: 14-year Commercial Real Estate Supply In China

14-year Commercial Real Estate Supply; China; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Mon 2009-01-19 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: FT: Citi to Split Investment and Commercial Bank

Citi; commercial banks; FT; naked capitalism; split investment.

Fri 2009-01-16 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: "Bullshit Promises"

``I am distressed with the many and varied forms of dishonest that take place routinely in our culture...I believe that it is commercial speech that has fostered a willingness to cut corners with the truth.''

Bullshit Promises; naked capitalism.

Thu 2009-01-15 00:00 EST

Calculated Risk: REIS: Commercial Real Estate Loan Defaults May Triple

Calculated Risk; Commercial Real Estate Loan Defaults; Reis; triple.

Sun 2008-11-23 00:00 EST

Calculated Risk: More Bad News for Commercial Real Estate

Bad News; Calculated Risk; commercial real estate.

Sun 2008-11-23 00:00 EST

Calculated Risk: The Commercial Real Estate Bust

Calculated Risk; Commercial Real Estate Bust.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: AIG Arbitrages the Fed Via Its New Commercial Paper Program

AIG Arbitrages; Fed; naked capitalism; new commercial paper program.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

Calculated Risk: More on Commercial Real Estate

Calculated Risk; commercial real estate.