ClubOrlov Wed 2009-08-26 13:53 EDT

The Slope of Dysfunction

kollapsnik

(Update: click here for a special version for the Nihonjin care of Masayuki.) Perhaps you have heard of the Peak Oil theory? Most people have by now, even the people whose job used to involve denying the possibility that global crude oil production would peak any time soon. Now that everybody seems a bit more comfortable with the idea, perhaps it is time to reexamine it. Is the scenario Peak Oil theoreticians paint indeed realistic, or is it firmly grounded in wishful thinking? Here is a typical, slightly outdated Peak Oil chart. I chose it because it looks pretty and conveys the typical Peak Oil message, which is that global crude oil (and natural gas condensate) production will rise to a lofty peak sometime soon, and then drift down...

ClubOrlov; dysfunctional; Slope.

Thu 2009-07-30 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Guest post: A populist interpretation of the latest Boom-Bust cycle

-- Theory of Kleptocracy; ``U.S. ruling class is not living up to its role in either efficiency or fairness. We are getting poorer.''

Guest Post; latest Boom-Bust cycle; naked capitalism; populist interpretation.

Tue 2009-04-21 00:00 EDT

Option ARMageddon >> Blog Archive >> Panics and Booms, a lesson from 1897

L. M. Holt anticipates Irving Fisher on debt deflation theory of depressions

1897; blogs Archive; boom; Lessons; Options Armageddon; panic.

ndk's notepad Thu 2009-02-26 00:00 EST

ndk's notepad: The Monetary Policy Theory of Debt-Deflations

debt deflation; Monetary Policy Theory; ndk's notepad.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: Irving Fisher's Debt Deflation Theory and Its Relevance Today

Irving Fisher's Debt Deflation Theory; naked capitalism; relevant.

Mon 2009-02-16 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: "Cramdown and Future Mortgage Credit Costs: Evidence and Theory"

Adam Levitin

Cramdowns; evidence; Future Mortgage Credit Costs; naked capitalism; Theory.

Mon 2008-12-15 00:00 EST

London Banker: Fisher's Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions and a possible revision

``I have been both a central banker and a market regulator. I now find myself questioning whether my early career, largely devoted to liberalising and deregulating banking and financial markets, was misguided.''

Fisher s Debt Deflation Theory; Great Depression; London Banker; possibly revising.

Fri 2008-12-12 00:00 EST

AlterNet: Chomsky: Is There Truth in Obama's Advertising?

AlterNet: Noam Chomsky: Is There Truth in Obama's Advertising? ``what's happened to the country...is that there was extensive and very constructive activism in the 1960s...And the activism did civilize the country''; Tom Ferguson's investment theory of politics; Brand Obama; ``The goal of advertising is to create uninformed consumers who will make irrational choices...And when they turn to selling a candidate they do the same thing...So you undermine democracy pretty much the same way you undermine markets.''

AlterNet; Chomsky; Obama's Advertising; truth.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: It Isn't Over Until the Fat Lady Sings

Benoit Mandelbrot warned ``Markets are very, very risky more risky than the standard theories assume.''

Fat Lady Sings; naked capitalism.

Mon 2008-08-04 00:00 EDT

London Banker: Fisher's Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions and a possible revision

download Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions (1933), by Irving Fisher

Fisher s Debt Deflation Theory; Great Depression; London Banker; possibly revising.

Wed 2008-07-02 00:00 EDT

Peak Oil Debunked: 365. MASSIVE DROP IN U.S. DEMAND IN APRIL

"supply outstripping demand theory of the feverish price action since March s emanating an extremely fish-like odor. U.S. demand down by a whopping 0.8mbd year-on-year."

365; April; massive drop; Peak Oil Debunked; U. S. demand.

Wed 2008-05-28 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: More Theories on Oil Prices and (Declining) Prospects

decline; naked capitalism; Oil price; Prospects; Theory.

Tue 2008-04-01 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Bear Conspiracy Theories and Carry Trade Unwind

Bear Conspiracy Theories; carry trade unwind; naked capitalism.

Wed 2008-03-26 00:00 EDT

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Rebuttal of GaveKal's Bully ``Wealth & Platform Theory''

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Rebuttal of GaveKal's Bully "Wealth & Platform Theory"; platform companies "outsource American jobs to safe production locales like China and Thailand, who then pollute the global environment and fail to account for the negative externalities (true costs) of their production...the peculiar slash and burn notion that the US can just eat its young by outsourcing jobs to foreign polluters, while failing to invest in capex and just merrily borrowing from foreigners against its Bubble induced wealth."; 2006-12-26

economic; GaveKal's Bully; Market; Platform Theory; Rebuttal; watch; wealth; winter.

Sun 2007-10-28 00:00 EDT

FT.com / Comment & analysis / Comment - The pseudo-science hurting markets

FT.com / Comment & analysis / Comment - The pseudo-science hurting markets, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb; quantitative trading; modern portfolio theory failings

Analysis; com; Comments; FT; pseudo-science hurting markets.

Mon 2007-08-13 00:00 EDT

DealBreaker.com

Quant Bloodbath Revisited, A Primer: Lehman Brothers Stategist Becomes The Sage of The Subprime Contagion Theory, by John Carney ()

com; Dealbreaker.