dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

understated Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

Bill Gross claims inflation understated (1); BLS employment statistics understating unemployment (1); BLS understating unemployment (3); CPI massively understated inflation (1); FNM significantly understates home price declines (1); understated unemployment (8); understating inflation (15); vastly understated (1).

The Wall Street Examiner Tue 2009-10-06 09:27 EDT

From Black Scholes to Black Holes (part 4- Finance)

...the problems associated with mortgage finance pale in comparison to those associated with derivatives. Warren Buffett famously called these securities financial weapons of mass destruction, but I think he understated the problem. These securities are far worse- a Ponzi scheme even Carlo wouldn't have dreamed of. We can choose to fire a WMD, but these securities have taken on a life of their own and they will, in my view, drag everything financially tied to them into oblivion- into a black hole...In the end the remaining banks will merge into one and money, instead of light, would never be able to escape as the fallacy of netting benefits- the assumption that they are all similarly valued- is exposed.

Black Holes; Black Scholes; finance; Part 4; Wall Street Examiner.

Sun 2008-11-23 00:00 EST

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: CPI and CS-CPI vs. Fed Funds Rate

``By ignoring housing prices, the CPI massively understated inflation for years. The CPI is massively overstating inflation now.''

CPI; CS-CPI; Fed Fund Rates; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Tue 2008-09-02 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: GDP Much Weaker Than Headline Numbers

overstating GDP; understating inflation

GDP; headline number; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; weaker.

Tue 2008-09-02 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: GDP Release Signals Further Decline into Banana Republic Status

overstating GDP, understating inflation; ``taking steps towards being a small-minded, elite-dominated, sham democracy...I wonder if there is some unconscious mass desire to give up on the messiness and ambiguity of an open society and surrender to the certainty of one with institutionalized inequality, more authoritarianism, but more predictability, and perhaps an illusion of greater security.''

Banana Republic Status; GDP Release Signals Further Decline; naked capitalism.

Mon 2008-08-04 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment

Bagehot's Rule and the Cost of Being "Technically Insolvent"; "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were given open-ended government guarantees through January 2009. This open-endedness is a big mistake, because the potential costs are being as vastly understated as the pre-war estimates of the Iraq invasion."

Hussman Funds; weekly market comments.

Sun 2008-06-08 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: May Jobs: Unemployment Skyrockets to 5.5%

understating unemployment

5; jobs; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Unemployment Skyrockets.

Thu 2008-05-15 00:00 EDT

Jesse's Café Américain: US Government Economic Statistics Are a 'Con Job'

Jesse's Café Américain: US Government Economic Statistics Are a 'Con Job'; understating inflation, unemployment

con jobs; Government Economic Statistics; Jesse's Café Américain.

Wed 2008-05-14 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: CPI Numbers For April: Spotlight On Energy

understating inflation

April; CPI Numbers; energy; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Spotlight.

Tue 2008-05-13 00:00 EDT

The Big Picture | Fannie Mae's Home Prices Ex-Foreclosures

"FNM significantly understates home price declines"

Big Picture; Fannie Mae's Home Prices Ex-Foreclosures.

Sat 2008-04-12 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Quelle Surprise! Unemployment Stats Don't Capture Joblessness

understating unemployment

Capture Joblessness; naked capitalism; Quelle Surprise; Unemployment Stats.

Sat 2008-04-05 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Unemployment Soars, Jobs Collapse

BLS employment statistics understating unemployment

Jobs Collapse; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Unemployment Soars.

Sun 2008-03-23 00:00 EDT

The Big Picture | Investing in a Post-Fact Society (a/k/a, Were the Good Times a Mirage?)

"Many of the stated economic gains have been a false ghost. Whether it was overstated job creation (NFP), understated inflation (CPI) or "inflated" growth (GDP), a shocking amount of the debate about the economic expansion has been primarily spin."

Big Picture; good times; investment; K; Mirage; Post-Fact Society.

Sat 2008-01-05 00:00 EST

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Unemployment Soars as Private Sector Jobs Contract

understating unemployment; birth/death adjustments added 1.3 million "jobs" since 2007-02

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Private Sector Jobs Contract; Unemployment Soars.

Mon 2007-12-03 00:00 EST

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Ministry of Truth to Rectify Key Economic Data

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Ministry of Truth to Rectify Key Economic Data; understating inflation; overstating growth; truck tonnage, container traffic confirm slack demand and recessionary conditions

economic; Market; ministries; Rectify Key Economic Data; truth; watch; winter.

Thu 2007-11-01 00:00 EDT

Funhouse Mirrors #1: Personal Savings Rate - iTulip.com Forums

overstating GDP; understating inflation; personal savings rate reveals failure of earnings to offset inflation

1; com forums; funhouse Mirror; iTulip; personal savings rate.

Mon 2007-10-08 00:00 EDT

Inflation Measurement and Price Volatility - Richard Fisher Speeches - News & Events - FRB Dallas

Inflation Measurement and Price Volatility, by Federal Reserve banker Richard Fisher; FRB Dallas; understating inflation

events; FRB Dallas; Inflation measure; news; Price Volatility; Richard Fisher Speeches.

Sun 2007-09-09 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Dispelling the Myth of Low Unemployment

BLS understating unemployment

dispelling; low unemployment; myth; naked capitalism.

Fri 2007-09-07 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Moonbats Active Again in Massive Jobs Disaster

BLS understating unemployment

Massive Jobs Disaster; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Moonbats Active.

Fri 2007-09-07 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Mass Layoffs Soar

BLS understating unemployment; 80% of headline payroll growth due to birth/death model estimates

Mass Layoffs Soar; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Tue 2007-08-28 00:00 EDT

The Big Picture | Real Income Fails to Rise for most of the 2000s

understating unemployment

2000s; Big Picture; Real Income Fails; rising.

Tue 2007-08-28 00:00 EDT

An inflation debate brews over intangibles at the mall

by Timothy Aeppel, The Wall Street Journal; 2003-05-09; understating inflation; hedonic adjustment

inflation debate brews; intangibles; Mall.

Sun 2007-07-01 00:00 EDT

An Annualized Inflation Rate of Under 3%... WHO ARE THEY KIDDING? - The Smirking Chimp

An Annualized Inflation Rate of Under 3%... WHO ARE THEY KIDDING? by Fred Cederholm; understating inflation - The Smirking Chimp

3; annual Inflation rate; kids; Smirking Chimp.

Sun 2007-07-01 00:00 EDT

Inflation of the nation -- it's there. - Nov. 14, 2003

Inflation of the nation -- it's there. By Justin Lahart; 2003-11-4; understating inflation; housing adjustments using "owners' equivalent rent"

14; 2003; Inflation; nation; Nov.

Sun 2007-07-01 00:00 EDT

Sep 18 The FED's Deflation Smokescreen Craig Harris 321gold

The FED's Deflation Smokescreen, by Craig Harris; understating inflation; 2003-09-18

FED's Deflation Smokescreen Craig Harris 321gold; Sep 18.

Sun 2007-07-01 00:00 EDT

Shadow Government Statistics: 3. Consumer Price Index (UPDATE)

by Walter J. Williams; understating inflation; 2004-09-22; updated 2006-10-01; hedonic inflation adjustments

3; consumer price index; Shadow Government Statistics; Update.

Sun 2007-07-01 00:00 EDT

SVB Asset Management - Investment Strategy Outlook

The Hedonic Wars, 2006-10-26; understating inflation; Bill Gross claims inflation understated; hedonic adjustments

Investment Strategy Outlook; SVB Asset Management.