dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

Wall Street Examiner Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

The Wall Street Examiner Sat 2010-05-22 19:56 EDT

Imagine There's No Credit Market: Another Look At German Controls

...Thus, when people speak of "rescuing the credit markets" they really mean to say rescuing the liquidity providers who failed to assess lending risks so profoundly they can't make required payments. When people talk of German restrictions killing the credit markets, they really mean killing the middle-men (which may or may not have a deleterious effect on government borrowing). German restrictions on certain types of equity and credit transactions are not aimed at reduced government borrowing. They are aimed at reducing the amount (and means of capture) of profit "earned" by middle-men in the transaction- profits, mind you, as per our model, in the case of government borrowing, come either as a result of the money's original owner getting less interest than a direct deal would generate, the government paying more interest (which only comes from higher tax revenues) than a direct deal would generate, or some combination thereof. ...liquidity providing actions of "credit market" middle-men has run amok. As per J.S. Mill, that credit markets are exerting a distinct and independent influence of their own means they are out of order. With increasing frequency, credit is mispriced or unwisely extended and liquidity, the raison d'ĂȘtre of these people, dries up when it is needed most. Yet the middle-men who fail in their tasks expect to be rescued from their failures, and given even more ways to profit from lending other people's money, while the pool of available savings shrinks. ...In one sense I'm quite happy about all of the financial sector bail-outs governments have provided these credit-market middle-men. Before the bail-outs, one had to argue that finance was like a tax on monetary exchange, now this point is clear, finance is, in fact, a tax- and a growing one at that.

credit markets; German-Controlled; imagine; looking; s; Wall Street Examiner.

The Wall Street Examiner Sat 2010-05-22 19:50 EDT

Merkel Does Mahathir and Martin Luther: Tilting the Market Table

...I'm very interested in Germany's policy shift because it's the first time in decades a mature industrialized nation has protested the allocation of profits decreed by financial orthodoxy. At core, German bans of "naked" (held by those who don't own the securities) shorts, paraphrasing Ms. Merkel- perhaps unsurprisingly the daughter of a Lutheran Minister- stops people profiting from the destruction of their neighbor's house at cost of less liquidity in the restricted markets...500 years ago, the Germans defied orthodoxy and ushered in a revolution which moved the center of Europe from South to North. They are defying orthodoxy again, and I can't wait to see what happens next.

Mahathir; Market Table; Martin Luther; Merkel; tilting; Wall Street Examiner.

The Wall Street Examiner Sun 2010-05-09 10:02 EDT

The Minsky Cruise (part 3, Business)

...While non-financial domestic corporate profits have shrunk from a Korean War inspired 11% of GDP to average around 5% of GDP since 1970, the financial sector's profits have been growing...The love affair with finance and disdain for what, during the tech boom, we called the "bricks and mortar" industry- and admittedly a failure, by some in those industries, to accept the transition to maturity- has inspired, for want of a better word, envy in the non-financial sector. While financial sector stocks seem to levitate on their own, non-financial sector stocks, if intent can be inferred from behavior, are believed to require a boost. I suspect the use of options as payment has something to do with this as well...Additionally, the non-financial sector, since the mid-80s has- a true sign of envy- opted to copy finance, by breaking into that field. GE Capital and GMAC Financial are two prominent examples...To paraphrase Nixon, "we're all Ponzis, now."

business; Minsky Cruise; Part 3; Wall Street Examiner.

The Wall Street Examiner Sun 2010-05-09 09:58 EDT

The Minsky Cruise (part 2, Households)

...Now for the Minsky part. The theory above, in layman's terms, argues that over time, when an economy expands without serious contractions, finances will become increasingly risky. Minsky wrote of a shift from hedge finance (when debt, both principal and interest, can be serviced from cash flows) through speculative finance (when debt must be rolled over as only interest payments can be serviced from cash flows) and into Ponzi finance (when cash flows cannot cover interest payments and thus new debt must be added or assets sold). The idea in the Ponzi finance stage is that asset appreciation will compensate for the extra risk...I don't mean to suggest we (collectively) are broke, just that, as Minsky argued (and the data bears out) our balance sheets are increasingly betting on real estate and equity price appreciation with borrowed money...

Household; Minsky Cruise; Part 2; Wall Street Examiner.

The Wall Street Examiner Sun 2010-05-09 09:55 EDT

Taking a Minsky Cruise on the Flow of Funds Datastream (part 1)

...Banks (who are, of course, owned by people, equity liabilities are not included in that data set) have always had a big lien on the country, but that lien has doubled (relative to GDP) since 1980. Households used to be a major source of finance in the country but as their distaste for debt faded along with memories of the depression they started to borrow more than they leant. Then, as restrictions to foreign capital inflows fell (how else to maintain a trade deficit without settling in specie) the Rest of the World became a significant source of funds. In 2001, The RoW overtook US Households as a source of funding and this trend has accelerated. Warren Buffett was wrong, we weren't going to become a sharecropper society, we already were one...

flowing; Funds Datastream; Minsky Cruise; Part 1; take; Wall Street Examiner.

The Wall Street Examiner Tue 2009-10-06 09:27 EDT

From Black Scholes to Black Holes (part 4- Finance)

...the problems associated with mortgage finance pale in comparison to those associated with derivatives. Warren Buffett famously called these securities financial weapons of mass destruction, but I think he understated the problem. These securities are far worse- a Ponzi scheme even Carlo wouldn't have dreamed of. We can choose to fire a WMD, but these securities have taken on a life of their own and they will, in my view, drag everything financially tied to them into oblivion- into a black hole...In the end the remaining banks will merge into one and money, instead of light, would never be able to escape as the fallacy of netting benefits- the assumption that they are all similarly valued- is exposed.

Black Holes; Black Scholes; finance; Part 4; Wall Street Examiner.

Fri 2009-01-16 00:00 EST

Disabusing Popular Assumptions | The Wall Street Examiner

Disabusing Popular Assumptions, by Lee Adler | The Wall Street Examiner; ``Once the forces of deflation have been set in motion monetary and fiscal policy are powerless to stop them.''

Disabusing Popular Assumptions; Wall Street Examiner.

Mon 2008-12-08 00:00 EST

Looming Inflation a Matter of Fact, or Faith? | The Wall Street Examiner

``I dont think its prudent to automatically assume that any of this will result in inflation at any time in the forseeable future. We remain in a deflationary debt collapse, and until I see evidence that this slide is beginning to reverse, I want no part of any major committment to an inflation trade''

fact; Faithful; Looming Inflation; matter; Wall Street Examiner.

Tue 2008-09-23 00:00 EDT

The Wall Street Examiner >> Never Have So Few Stolen So Much from So Many

by Lee Adler; paulson bailout plan

Stolen; Wall Street Examiner.

Tue 2008-09-23 00:00 EDT

The Wall Street Examiner >> Dear Senator, Save Our Beloved Republic!

by Lee Adler; ``By assuming most of the bad debt from the financial system (if thats even possible), the government will be infecting itself with the disease it has been seeking to treat''

Beloved Republic; save; Senators; Wall Street Examiner.

Sun 2008-05-04 00:00 EDT

The Wall Street Examiner >> I Didn't Write This, But...

The Wall Street Examiner >> I Didn't Write This, But... chilling TBAC report on deteriorating federal budget balance, urges increased issuance of long-term debt

Wall Street Examiner; writes.

Fri 2008-03-28 00:00 EDT

The Wall Street Examiner >> Weekend At Benny's

The Wall Street Examiner >> Weekend At Benny's; "Primary Dealers and most big banks are already dead. The Fed is just keeping them on life support and manipulating the limbs and torso."

Benny s; Wall Street Examiner; weekend.

Mon 2008-03-17 00:00 EDT

The Wall Street Examiner >> Sunday Night Massacre- Fed Announces Emergency Measures

Fed Announces Emergency Measures; Sunday night massacre; Wall Street Examiner.

Tue 2008-02-12 00:00 EST

The Wall Street Examiner >> Fed Eunuchs Reveal True Selves In Technicolor

by Lee Adler; "Fed has aggressively collapsed the size of the System Open Market Account...to withdraw billions of dollars of what is, in essence, margin buying power from the trading accounts of the Primary Dealers"

Feds Eunuchs Reveals True Selves; Technicolor; Wall Street Examiner.

Sun 2007-12-23 00:00 EST

The Wall Street Examiner >> The Pushers

BOA "frantic shyster" pushing cash

Pusher; Wall Street Examiner.

Mon 2007-10-15 00:00 EDT

The Wall Street Examiner >> The Worst Is Over?

by Lee Adler; 900 billion ABCP mostly fictitious capital?

Wall Street Examiner; worst.

Mon 2007-08-20 00:00 EDT

The Wall Street Examiner >> Throwing a Bone To A Starving Dog

by Lee Adler; recent Fed moves are smoke and mirrors

bones; Starving Dog; throws; Wall Street Examiner.