zero hedge Thu 2009-09-17 09:42 EDT

Excess Liquidity Game Is Coming To An End

David Rosenberg notes M1, M2 and MZM have commenced contracting at an alarming rate: M1 fell 1.0% in the August 24th week and over the past four weeks is down at a 6.5% annual rate. M2 has contracted in each of the past four weeks too and over that time has slipped at a 12.2% annualized pace, which is a near-record decline. We see the same trend in the broad MZM money measure -- off at a 15.8% annual rate over the past month. Bank credit also remains in a fundamental downtrend -- contracting at an epic 9% annualized pace over the past four weeks. So for the first time in the post-WWII era, we have deflation in credit, wages and rents, and from our lens this is a toxic brew that in the end will ensure that the focus on capital preservation and income orientation will be the winning strategy over a strict reliance on capital appreciation.

comes; ending; Excess liquidity game; Zero Hedge.

Credit Writedowns Wed 2009-08-26 16:38 EDT

The FDIC and the socialization of banking losses

With the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) about to release its latest figures for banks it regulates and its own financial condition, now is a good time to review its role in this crisis. This post is about the FDIC's role in the credit crisis, how it seizes banks and why I believe this matters. [...] ``the way assets are seized and sold represents a redistribution of income from taxpayers to the acquiring entities''

banks losses; credit writedowns; FDIC; social.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Wed 2009-08-26 16:00 EDT

Critically Under-Capitalized Banks Direct Result Of "Wonderful Chain of Stupidity"

Michael Shedlock

Last week the Wall Street Journal ran an article about how trust securities sank Guaranty Financial Group and six family-controlled Illinois banks in early July. Please consider In New Phase of Crisis, Securities Sink Banks. Federal officials on Thursday were poised to seize Guaranty Financial Group Inc., in what would be the 10th-largest bank failure in U.S. history. Guaranty's woes were caused by its investment portfolio, stuffed with deteriorating securities created from pools of mortgages originated by some of the nation's worst lenders. Delinquency rates on the holdings have soared as high as 40%, forcing write-downs last month that consumed all of the bank's capital. Guaranty is one of thousands of banks that invested in such securities, which were often highly rated but ultimately hinged on the health of... Security losses are a non-operating item and are listed after pre-tax operating income on the call report. This is very unusual and possibly reveals another cancer hiding on many banks balance sheets. those garbage trust-preferred securities problems are on top of the widely expected fallout from commercial real estate problems affecting small to medium-sized regional banks. Thus, banking woes are much deeper in many areas than either the FDIC or Fed is admitting.

Capitalized Banks Direct Result; Criticizes; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Stupid; Wonderful Chain.

Thu 2009-07-30 00:00 EDT

Michael Hudson: The Toll Booth Economy

Michael Hudson: The Toll Booth Economy -- by Michael Hudson ``The Latest in Junk Economics'' What is missing is a critique of the big picture how Wall Street has financialized the public domain to inaugurate a neo-feudal tollbooth economy while privatizing the government itself, headed by the Treasury and Federal Reserve. Left untouched is the story how industrial capitalism has succumbed to an insatiable and unsustainable finance capitalism, whose newest final stage seems to be a zero-sum game of casino capitalism based on derivative swaps and kindred hedge fund gambling innovations...What have been lost are the Progressive Eras two great reforms. First, minimizing the economys free lunch of unearned income (e.g., monopolistic privilege and privatization of the public domain in contrast to ones own labor and enterprise) by taxing absentee property rent and asset-price (capital) gains, by keeping natural monopolies in the public domain, and by anti-trust regulation...A second Progressive Era aim was to steer the financial sector so as to fund capital formation. Industrial credit was best achieved in Germany and Central Europe in the decades prior to World War I. But the Allied victory led to the dominance of Anglo-American banking practice, based on loans against property or income streams already in place. Todays bank credit has become decoupled from capital formation, taking the form mainly of mortgage credit (80 per cent), and loans secured by corporate stock (for mergers, acquisitions and corporate raids) as well as for speculation. The effect is to spur asset-price inflation on credit, in ways that benefit the few at the expense of the economy at large.''

Michael Hudson; Toll Booth Economy.

Fri 2009-07-24 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Guest Post: AIG CDS Unwind Goes From Waterfall To A Trickle

*** banks' fixed income trading desks generated phenomenal profitability in January and February hadnothing to do with actual trading of fixed income and everything to do with AIG's hamheaded (and loss-generating) unwind of its CDS book''

AIG CDS Unwind Goes; Guest Post; naked capitalism; trickle; waterfall.

Wed 2009-04-01 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Goldman: China Tax Receipts Show Marked Fall in Incomes

China Tax Receipts Show Marked Fall; Goldman; incoming; naked capitalism.

Fri 2009-02-20 00:00 EST

FT.com | Willem Buiter's Maverecon | Home loans in the US: the biggest racket since Al Capone?

Buiter urges end the deductibility of mortgage interest in the personal income tax, close down Fannie and Freddie and end the role of the US government in the provision of residential mortgages

biggest racket; Capone; com; FT; home Loans; Willem Buiter's Maverecon.

Sun 2008-10-26 00:00 EDT

Joe Bageant: Moving to the Center of Elite Consensus

by "the masked political consultant"; ``what "Moving to the Center," means is: moving towards power and money''; ``What voters are expected to believe is that after a 30-year class war against the bottom 90% of income earners, the source of their troubles are black rappers and inner city fathers and not criminality on Wall Street or a corrupt political system.''; 2008-08-27

center; elite consensus; Joe Bageant; move.

Mon 2008-06-02 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: BK Judge Rules Stated Income HELOC Debt Dischargeable

BK Judge Rules Stated Income HELOC Debt Dischargeable; Calculated Risk.

Wed 2008-05-28 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Fed Risk: Interview with Richard Alford

Fed Risk: Interview with Dick Alford; Institutional Risk Analytics; former fed economist Richard Alford argues Fed misread inflation for deflation, Fed fighting the wrong battles; "US population is not ready to hear that their real levels of income, assets prices and other indicia of national well being may be falling or relatively stagnant for the foreseeable future."

Fed Risks; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview; Richard Alford.

Tue 2008-05-13 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Why So Little Interest in Danish "Flexicurity"? (Income Inequality/Labor Inefficiency Edition)

Danish; Flexicurity; Income Inequality/Labor Inefficiency Edition; interesting; naked capitalism.

Fri 2008-03-21 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: How To Beat The Street (the old fashioned way)

Goldman level 3 assets rise about 9 billion; net income 1.5 billion

beat; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; old-fashioned way; Street.

Tue 2008-01-22 00:00 EST

Money Matters: The Lone Ranger's Silver Bullet Rate Cuts Saves Markets

by Elaine Meinel Supkis; "When Britain and France used the Long Depression to expand their empires, both Germany and the USA used this time frame to build rail roads, ports, navies, farms, factories and educational centers. As France and England denuded their home states to increase invasive military power that took in the raw resources of the world, their people got weaker and their incomes fell and they went hungry and in rags in slums or fled their homelands to the New Worlds."

Lone Ranger's Silver Bullet Rate Cuts Saves Markets; money matters.

Fri 2007-12-14 00:00 EST

Bear In Mind > Goldman and Lehman: How much did you hedge?

Bear In Mind > Goldman and Lehman: How much did you hedge? Lehman takes 1% loss on fixed income portfolio despite "bsolute worst month on record by any measure for the fixed income markets"

Bear; Goldman; Hedge; Lehman; mind.

Tue 2007-10-02 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: What's Really Wrong With Stated Income

mortgage lending

Calculated Risk; s really wrong; stated income.

Tue 2007-08-28 00:00 EDT

The Big Picture | Real Income Fails to Rise for most of the 2000s

understating unemployment

2000s; Big Picture; Real Income Fails; rising.