Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Fri 2009-10-23 09:07 EDT

Death of the 'Soul of Capitalism'

Michael Shedlock

Paul Farrell on MarketWatch is writing about the Death of the 'Soul of Capitalism', referring to Jack Bogle, Marc Faber, and Michael Moore. Has capitalism lost its soul? Guys like Bogle and Faber sense it...Virtually everything that failed can be traced back to government intervention into the free markets, especially the creation of the Fed itself.

capitalism; death; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; souls.

The Big Picture Fri 2009-10-23 09:03 EDT

Dick Alford on Opportunities Lost by the Fed

Richard Alford (via Chris Whalen)

Against a backdrop of continued financial fragility and extraordinary policy actions, policymakers are discussing re-balancing global growth, restoring financial stability, and the future of the Dollar as the world's reserve currency. In 2005, Edwin Truman proposed a list of policy measures that if followed would have reduced the US external imbalance and placed the reserve status of the Dollar on better footing. Truman's proposal differed from the standard litany of US fiscal discipline, Dollar adjustment, and increased demand in surplus countries. It called upon the Federal Reserve to slow the growth in US demand. More recent research, by Shin and Adrian, suggests that if the Fed had heeded Truman's prescription, then monetary policy would have also mitigated the recent turmoil in financial markets...

Big Picture; Dick Alford; Fed; opportunity lost.

Credit Writedowns Fri 2009-10-23 09:00 EDT

The next crisis is already under way

Wolfgang Munchau of the Financial Times wrote a very important comment piece in today's Financial Times. In it he said that central banks are targeting asset prices to avoid the brunt of cyclical downturns. This policy is inducing asset bubbles and creating a more volatile real economy with unpredictable negative consequences...Munchau invokes Hyman Minsky's model of financial instability to help explain how this sets us up for a volatile future because traditional macroeconomic theory is inadequate for understanding what got us to this point. In essence, the idyllic state of economic and price stability we know as ``the Great Moderation'' is really just a financialization of the economy. However, a large financial sector leads to excessive dependence on asset prices to fuel growth, which in turn leads to an accumulation of debt...

credit writedowns; Crisis; way.

Credit Writedowns Fri 2009-10-23 08:57 EDT

US angling to get Chinese to revalue renminbi

In what looks to be a central line of attack in the quest to re-balance the global economy, the Treasury Department has ratcheted up the rhetoric against China's currency peg. The Treasury's semiannual report to Congress slammed the Chinese for their lack of exchange rate `flexibility,' but stopped well short of accusing the Chinese of currency 'manipulation' as Tim Geithner had claimed...[dollar losing reserve currency status]

angle; Chinese; credit writedowns; revalue renminbi.

Fri 2009-10-23 08:55 EDT

Is Goldman Sachs Evil? Or Just Too Good? -- New York Magazine (2009-07-26)

Joe Hagan

(Goldman Sachs, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, Rolling Stone, John Rogers, John Whitehead, AIG, Neil Barofsky, Troubled Asset Relief Program, Morgan Stanley, Hank Paulson, Lloyd Blankfein, John Thain, Lehman Brothers, Standard & Poor's, Tim Geithner, JPMorgan Chase, Jon Winkelried, David Solomon, Richard Friedman, Jamie Dimon, Robert Rubin, Dan Jester, Eric Dinallo, Hank Greenberg, Edward C. Forst, Neel Kashkari, Edward Liddy, Stephen Friedman, Sidney Weinberg, TARP, Joseph --Stiglitz, Lucas van Praag, Frank Suozzo, Mike Morgan, Matt Taibbi, Edith Cooper, Byron Trott, Warren Buffett, Barney Frank, John Thornton, Michael Lewis, Larry Summers, Barack Obama, Rahm Emanuel, Robert Hormats, Eliot Spitzer) Inside Goldman Sachs, America's most successful, cynical, envied, despised, and (in its view, anyway) misunderstood engine of capitalism. [2009-07-26]

2009-07-26; Goldman Sachs evil; good; just; New York magazine.

Jesse's Café Américain Fri 2009-10-23 08:54 EDT

Preparing for the Next Crash: Now Is the Time

Jesse

The Extinction of Ethics in Finance -- The Fallout, by Greg Simmons: ...I could probably write an entire thesis about the utter abandonment of morality by today's so-called investment community. I mean, does everybody have to cheat each other to make a dollar? The subject literally brings into question the human thread that binds our social fabric together...

Crash; Jesse's Café Américain; prepared; Time.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Fri 2009-10-23 08:47 EDT

Where The Hell Is The Outrage?

Michael Shedlock

The number of articles and opinions on Goldman Sachs earnings, bonuses, and influence pedaling over the past several days is quite stunning. Many have pointed out the problems; few have expressed outrage over what is happening in general, not just at Goldman Sachs... I am outraged and not just about Goldman Sachs, but about a process that allows, even encourages political pandering, by time and time again rewarding leveraged riverboat gamblers and failed institutions and at taxpayer expense...

hell; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Outrage.

Fri 2009-10-23 08:41 EDT

The US as Failed State

Paul Craig Roberts:

The US has every characteristic of a failed state. The US government's current operating budget is dependent on foreign financing and money creation. Too politically weak to be able to advance its interests through diplomacy, the US relies on terrorism and military aggression. Costs are out of control, and priorities are skewed in the interest of rich organized interest groups at the expense of the vast majority of citizens. For example, war at all cost, which enriches the armaments industry, the officer corps and the financial firms that handle the war's financing, takes precedence over the needs of American citizens. There is no money to provide the uninsured with health care, but Pentagon officials have told the Defense Appropriations Subcommittee in the House that every gallon of gasoline delivered to US troops in Afghanistan costs American taxpayers $400.

failed state.

Fri 2009-10-23 08:36 EDT

Wake Up Washington! China Is Already Dumping the Dollar Niall Ferguson Says: Tech Ticker, Yahoo! Finance

Harvard Professor Niall Ferguson says Washington D.C. is too complacent about China's ability to wean itself off the dollar...China's "current strategy is to diversify out of dollars and into commodities," Ferguson says. Furthermore, China's recent pact with Brazil to conduct trade in their local currencies is a "sign of the times." [dollar losing reserve currency status]

China; Dollar-Niall-Ferguson-Says; Dump; finance; Tech Ticker; wake; WASHINGTON; Yahoo.

Fri 2009-10-23 08:30 EDT

How Moody's sold its ratings - and sold out investors | McClatchy

Kevin G. Hall

As the housing market collapsed in late 2007, Moody's Investors Service, whose investment ratings were widely trusted, responded by purging analysts and executives who warned of trouble and promoting those who helped Wall Street plunge the country into its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. A McClatchy investigation has found that Moody's punished executives who questioned why the company was risking its reputation by putting its profits ahead of providing trustworthy ratings for investment offerings. Instead, Moody's promoted executives who headed its "structured finance" division, which assisted Wall Street in packaging loans into securities for sale to investors. It also stacked its compliance department with the people who awarded the highest ratings to pools of mortgages that soon were downgraded to junk. Such products have another name now: "toxic assets."

Investors; McClatchy; Moody's Sold; rate; SOLD.

Calculated Risk Fri 2009-10-23 08:29 EDT

McClatchy: "How Moody's sold its ratings"

CalculatedRisk

Kevin Hall at McClatchy Newspapers writes: How Moody's sold its ratings -- and sold out investors (ht Atrios) A McClatchy investigation has found that Moody's punished executives who questioned why the company was risking its reputation by putting its profits ahead of providing trustworthy ratings for investment offerings. Instead, Moody's promoted executives who headed its "structured finance" division, which assisted Wall Street in packaging loans into securities for sale to investors. It also stacked its compliance department with the people who awarded the highest ratings to pools of mortgages that soon were downgraded to junk.

Calculated Risk; McClatchy; Moody's Sold; rate.

zero hedge Thu 2009-10-22 20:14 EDT

Monday's Reverse Repo Test A Disaster?

On Monday the Federal Reserve held a major reverse repo test, as was announced by the NY Fed and by Zero Hedge. We have subsequently received several unconfirmed reports that the conducted test has been a disaster...

disaster; Monday's Reverse Repo Test; Zero Hedge.

Thu 2009-10-22 19:53 EDT

Interview with Jesse at the Café Américain | Phil's Stock World

"The easiest road to corruption is through self-delusion." - Jesse Interview with Jesse at the Caf>> Am>>ricain By (economy,interview with jesse at the café américain,stock market)

Café Américain; interview; Jesse; Phil's Stock World.

Thu 2009-10-22 14:25 EDT

Nieman Watchdog > Commentary > Where's the reporting on the fraud that led to the crash?

University of Texas economist and author James Galbraith believes the press has paid too little attention to investigating the ``criminal and felonious behavior'' involved in the economic crash of last year. ``The press as a whole used [Ponzi-schemer] Bernie Madoff as the emblem of wrongdoing, but compared to the wrongdoing in the housing sector, the Madoff scandal was small-bore,'' Galbraith told Nieman Watchdog in a recent interview. ``The press has tended a bit to treat this issue [mortgage related fraud] as a kind of boys-will-be-boys phenomenon. The press has not been aggressive in investigating this the way they should, to point out to readers the extent to which we're talking about fraud -- criminal, felonious behavior -- that will end up with people in the penitentiary.''

commentary; Crash; fraud; led; Nieman Watchdog; report; s.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Mon 2009-10-19 14:15 EDT

FHA Rules Render Condos Utterly Worthless

Michael Shedlock

When it come to home ownership, condo prices are the last to rise and the first to go down. Given the glut of condos and unfinished condos in the bubble areas, the following article should not be surprising. Please consider Experts: Plummeting prices have rendered condos nearly worthless by the Arizona Republic. New federal loan-guarantee rules imposed to fend off future government losses from plummeting condominium prices have rendered condos utterly worthless, Valley real-estate experts said.

FHA Rules Render Condos Utterly Worthless; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Willem Buiter's Maverecon Thu 2009-10-15 16:51 EDT

Kornai on Soft Budget Constraints, Bail-Outs and the Financial Crisis

Nobel Prize winning economist J��nos Kornai

...Spreading of the SBC syndrome is at once a cause and an effect of the crisis. I will not say it is the only cause: the situation that led to the crisis was brought about by a complex of factors. But I will say firmly that softening of the budget constraint is one of the main causes of the crisis. The general softening tendency has been reinforced in the United States and several other countries by successive bailouts over the last ten or twenty years. Some economists, such as Professor Chenggang Xu, have been pointing for years at a close link between the crisis in East Asia and earlier bailouts. [moral hazard generalized]

bail-outs; Financial Crisis; Kornai; Soft Budget Constraints; Willem Buiter's Maverecon.