Bruce Krasting Fri 2009-09-04 18:29 EDT

FHFA Report on Restructurings -- Everything is Going Fine

Bruce Krasting

The FHFA released a report on their refinancing activity for the year to date. As usual it was cast in glowing terms. It is clear that FHFA is doing something. In my view that `something' is consistently the wrong thing...No private lender in their right mind would make a 125% loan. These are just losses to be. The FHFA is perpetuating the cycle of default. They are making things worse, not better...No single entity should have this much exposure to the credit market. It defines systemic risk.

Bruce Krasting; FHFA reported; going fine; restructuring.

naked capitalism Tue 2009-09-01 13:10 EDT

Twenty-Five Years to Work Off the Debt Overhang?

T. S. Eliot was right. Human beings cannot stand very much reality. As much as I have an appetite for bearish views (I figure the optimist case gets disproportionate air time), the headline of Ambrose Evans-Pritchard's latest piece, ``Our quarter-century penance is just starting,'' is grim even by the standards of the bearish faithful. Great comment by DownSouth, quoting Martin Luther King and Reinhold Niebuhr to the effect that by delegating to elites what should be the role of labor unions and grass-roots organizations. Niebuhr wrote: ``when collective power, whether in the form of imperialism or class domination, exploits weakness, it can never be dislodged unless power is raised against it'' ``Before we can fix the economy, the polity must be repaired first.''

debt overhang; naked capitalism; working; years.

Steve Keen's Debtwatch Sun 2009-08-30 20:48 EDT

Debtwatch No. 38: The GFC--Pothole or Mountain?

Cassander

``The Marxian view is that capitalistic economies are inherently unstable and that excessive accumulation of capital will lead to increasingly severe economic crises. Growth theory, which has proved to be empirically successful, says this is not true.'' wrote Economics Nobel Prize winner Edward C. Prescott. Prescott also claimed ``the Great Depression was a conscious choice by American workers to enjoy more leisure, in response to unspecified changes in the labour market'' Apparently debt played no role. The capitalistic economy is stable, and absent some change in technology or the rules of the economic game, the [...]

38; Debtwatch; GFC; Mountain; Potholes; Steve Keen's Debtwatch.

Satyajit Das's Blog - Fear & Loathing in Financial Products Sun 2009-08-30 12:20 EDT

El-dollardo Economics

In the 1980s, the Japanese were taking over the world. In the 1990s, it was going to be an ?Asian? century. These days the pundits are betting on the ?Chinese Age?. Like all such glib predictions, despite their superficial appeal, they mask complex undercurrents and issues that require careful study. Business journalist Michael Schuman's The Miracle: The Epic Story of Asia's Quest for Wealth. Paul Midler's Poorly Made in China; quality fade. Underlying both `The Miracle' and `Poorly Made in China' is a view of the emerging world best captured by the term `Orientalism', associated with Edward Said...the West's view of the East was shaped by political power and unequal commercial exchange. Said's work built on George Orwell's criticism of colonialism. Former Chinese premier Zhao Ziyang's secret journal `Prisoner of the State' provides antidote to a Western view of East Asia.

El-dollardo Economics; fears; financial products; loath; Satyajit Das's Blog.

Rick Bookstaber Sun 2009-08-30 12:07 EDT

Not with a Bang but a Whimper -- The Risk from High Frequency and Algorithmic Trading

Rick Bookstaber

``There is a general view that one way or another the end result of all the high frequency and algorithmic trading will be a blowup. But I don't think the risk is as big as many are making it out to be...the risk of a cataclysm is constrained by the lack of feedback and lack of tight coupling...As the field gets increasingly crowded, market impact will rise and opportunities will diminish'' First, let me point out the difference between high frequency trading and algorithmic trading. Both execute using computers, and since computers work really fast, both can be accused of whatever sins are embodied in millisecond trading. High frequency trading is a type of proprietary trading. The trader (or his computer) sees a profit opportunity and trades accordingly. This profit opportunity...

algorithmic trading; bang; High Frequency; Rick Bookstaber; Risk; Whimper.

Wed 2009-04-01 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Inside China: A Sculptor's View

China's massive overcapacity real estate bubble

China; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Sculptor's View.

Tue 2008-08-19 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-A Tale of Two Markets, Part 3, by Bennet Sedacca; "spreads in the credit markets are at historically wide levels and show no signs of tightening"; AIG "just one of scores of companies that cannot finance themselves"; "stocks remain...as over-valued as I have seen in many years"

Minyanville.

Mon 2008-08-11 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-A Tale of Two Markets, Part 1, by Bennet Sedacca; Fannie bailout projections

Minyanville.

Mon 2008-07-14 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-Fannie, Freddie Expecting Bailout

Minyanville.

Thu 2008-06-05 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS - Voodoo Banking, Part 1, by Satyajit Das

Minyanville.

Thu 2008-06-05 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS - Voodoo Banking, Part 2, by Satyajit Das

Minyanville.

Wed 2008-05-28 00:00 EDT

Economist's View: "The Predator State: How Conservatives Abandoned the Free Market and Why Liberals Should Too"

review of Jamie Galbraith's "The Predator State" by L. Randall Wray; "market solutions are designed to enrich a favored oligarchy through a spoils system administered through the states structure"

Conservatives Abandoned; Economist's View; free market; liberalism; Predator state.

Sat 2008-05-17 00:00 EDT

Minyanville -

NEWS & VIEWS-Five Things You Need to Know: The Inflation Hysteria, by Kevin Depew; "Today's 'inflation' is illusory. It is the tail end of the Federal Reserve's mirage of economic production; credit creation."

Minyanville.

Fri 2008-03-07 00:00 EST

Economist's View: Risk Management During Recent Financial Market Turbulence

(regulators report on risk management failures)

Economist's View; recent financial market turbulence; risk management.

Mon 2007-12-17 00:00 EST

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Rear View Mirror Hyperinflation

credit deflation

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; Rear View Mirror Hyperinflation.

Sun 2007-11-25 00:00 EST

RGE - With the Recession Becoming Inevitable the Consensus Shifts Towards the Hard Landing View. And the Rising Risk of a Systemic Financial Meltdown

by Nouriel Roubini

Consensus Shifts; Hard Landing View; Recession Becoming Inevitable; RGE; rising risks; System financial meltdown.