Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2009-10-08 16:28 EDT

Gold: Until the System Is Reformed and Trust Is Restored

Jesse

Gold has obviously broken out of a big inverse Head and Shoulder formation, possibly an ascending triangle if you prefer that for reliability. In combination, as they often are, this is a powerful sign of buying pressure, accumulation and a sharp rise in price...despite the obvious efforts of the monied interests to disparage it publicly while accumulating it privately, is rising because the US dollar is being used badly, is being weakened by the failing schemes of a corrupt combination of the government and financial interests...gold is telling us...the era of the US Dollar as the world's reserve currency is over...

gold; Jesse's Café Américain; reform; restore; Systems; trust.

Tue 2009-09-22 08:29 EDT

Guest Post: Satyajit Das on Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Finance

Satyajit Das

One year ago, AIG was brought to the brink of bankruptcy as a result its exposure under credit default swaps (''CDS'') (a form of credit insurance). Asset backed securities and Collateralised Debt Obligations (''CDOs''), which lived up to its cheery nickname Chernobyl Death Obligation, brought the financial system to the edge of collapse...If you assumed that these events meant that wild beast of derivatives would be tamed, then you would be wrong. History tells us that there will be cosmetic changes to the functioning of the market but business as usual will resume in the not too distant futureIf you assumed that these events meant that wild beast of derivatives would be tamed, then you would be wrong. History tells us that there will be cosmetic changes to the functioning of the market but business as usual will resume in the not too distant future.

Dr. Jekyll; Guest Post; Mr. Hyde Finance; Satyajit Das.

Jesse's Café Américain Sat 2009-09-19 16:53 EDT

US Dollar Long Term Chart and a Scenario for Dollar Devaluation

Jesse

We have been trying to calculate a new lower bound for the dollar decline from the charts. Reason tells us that at some point the dollar decline and economic imbalances may lead to a devaluation of the dollar.

Dollar devaluation; Dollar Long Term Chart; Jesse's Café Américain; Scenarios.

Blog entry Sat 2009-09-19 13:28 EDT

The Angelides Commission: Tell America What Happened

Robert L. Borosage

Today the new Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, modeled after the New Deal-era Pecora Commission, begins its investigation into possible misconduct by the financial sector causing last year's market meltdown...We are pleased that the Financial Crisis Commission is coming together, under the leadership of chair Phil Angelides...the Commission should aspire to be the modern day version of the Senate Banking Hearings in the 1930s that came to be named after the chief counsel, Ferdinand Pecora...The Angelides Commission -- if it fearlessly lays out the facts, exposes the excesses, the deformed incentives, the frauds and crimes, that are at the root of the current crisis has the potential of playing a similar role to that of Pecora.

Angelides Commission; blog entry; happened; tell America.

naked capitalism Tue 2009-09-08 15:19 EDT

Links 9/8/09

DownSouth tellingly quotes Hannah Arendt and paraphrases Reinhold Niebuhr on economic growth and progress.

Links 9/8/09; naked capitalism.

Minyanville Sat 2009-09-05 11:47 EDT

Why Hanging On to UNG Is Risky Business

People have been up in arms for months now about the troubles at the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) the ETF designed to track the price of natural gas. And as far as I can tell rightly so. ETFs were meant to be a nearly frictionless relatively simple alternative to the clunky closed-end funds (CEFs) and managed products that our parents and grandparents had to contend with. But UNG recently traded at a 19% premium to its net asset value (NAV) -- behavior far more fitting a CEF...But since hand-wringing over UNG seems to be the consensus approach, here's a contrarian thought: UNG has, to date, tracked natural gas futures (NG) fairly well.

hang; Minyanville; Risky Business; UNG.

Steve Keen's Debtwatch Sun 2009-08-30 14:33 EDT

It's Hard Being a Bear (Part Two)

Cassander

One of the reasons I'm still a bear on the economy is because the economists in the optimists camp are relying upon very bad economic theory. If that theory is telling them good times are ahead, that's one of the best predictors of bad times you could have. Capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM) preached that stock market price shares accurately, that the amount of debt finance a company has doesn't affect its value, and many other notions that have gone up in smoke during the GFC. CAPM developer William Sharpe ``assumed a miracle'': all investors agree about the future and their expectations about the future are correct. Macroeconomic theory has been dominated by IS-LM model erroneously attributed to Keynes but actually due to convervative neoclassical John Hicks, which ``emasculated what was original in Keynes's General Theory, and this bowdlerised version of Keynes was then demolished by Friedman in the 1970s to usher in the Monetarist phase''

Bear; hard; part; Steve Keen's Debtwatch.

Thu 2009-01-15 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: Guest Post: "If You Can't Tell Who The Sucker Is...."

by Cassandra Does Tokyo; normalcy; ``what we've seen in leverage and credit growth during the past 15 years is NOT normal, nor is it sustainable - neither relative to history or in absolute terms.''

Guest Post; naked capitalism; suckers; tells.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: Paulson vs. Bank Execs: Who is Telling the Truth?

2008-10-15; ``Early in his career, Paulson was a staffer for John Erlichman. It appears that imprinting stuck.''

bank exec; naked capitalism; Paulson; tells; truth.

Tue 2008-09-23 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Bernanke Tells Congress Economy Will Contract if Bailout Bill Not Passed (Updated)

Bailout bill; Bernanke Tells Congress Economy; contraction; naked capitalism; passed; Update.

Tue 2008-09-02 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Verizon Locking Customers into New Fiber Optic Service (and Not Telling Them)

FIOS

naked capitalism; New Fiber Optic Service; tells; Verizon Locking Customers.

Mon 2008-08-04 00:00 EDT

Is the U.S. Banking System Safe? - Seeking Alpha

Is the U.S. Banking System Safe? by James Quinn - Seeking Alpha; "The U.S. banking system is essentially insolvent. The Treasury, Federal Reserve, FASB, and Congress are colluding to keep the American public in the dark for as long as possible...When you see a bank CEO or a top government official tell you that everything is alright, run for the hills. They are lying."

Seeking Alpha; U.S. Banking System Safe.

Mon 2008-06-30 00:00 EDT

Angry Bear: Broken Clock Day

Thomas Friedman accidentally tells truth: "Since President Bush came to office, our national savings have gone from 6 percent of gross domestic product to 1 percent, and consumer debt has climbed from $8 trillion to $14 trillion."

Angry Bear; Broken Clock Day.

Mon 2008-06-16 00:00 EDT

Money Matters: WP Tries To Tell Housing Bubble Story

by Elaine Meinel Supkis

money matters; Tell Housing Bubble Story; WP Tries.

Thu 2007-09-27 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: Who Should Pay the Rating Agencies?

comparison to FICO, consumer credit scores; lenders seen "going out of their way to make sure those reports didn't tell the whole picture"

Calculated Risk; pay; Rating Agencies.

Mon 2007-07-09 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Verizon Locking Customers into New Fiber Optic Service (and Not Telling Them)

naked capitalism; New Fiber Optic Service; tells; Verizon Locking Customers.