dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

Analytics Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

analytically compelling (1); generating analytical catalog records (1); Godley's analytical framework (1); Institutional Rick Analytics (1); Institutional Risk Analytics (26); Wild Analytics (1).

zero hedge - on a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero Sat 2010-09-25 09:47 EDT

Chris Whalen On The Upcoming "Worst Economic Contraction Since WWI (Forget WWII)"

The erosion of the profitability of the U.S. banking industry over the past two years under the glorious Summers-Geithner-Bernanke rescue scheme is the proverbial fly in the ointment for both major political parties. Democrats and republicans alike are going to be fed into the meat grinder over the next several years as the banking sector deals with literally hundreds of billions of dollars in direct and indirect expenses from the deflation of the mortgage bubble. For the economy, this slow process of muddle along championed by Summers and Geithner will ensure that Barack Obama becomes the Herbert Hoover of the Democratic Party. The economic carnage that will causes these losses, as we described in a recent post in Reuters, "Double Dip or Global Deflation?," is going to represent the worst economic contraction since WWI. Forget WWII. Think "shrinkage" to use the Gilded Age description for economic deflation. And frankly nothing that either the Fed or Treasury does in the near-term can change this basic economic fact of restructuring...the economic situation at BAC and among all of the legacy zombie banks continues to worsen. No amount of bullshit from Washington changes the fundamental economic situation inside the largest U.S. lenders.

Chris Whalen; dropped; Forget WWII; long; survival rate; Timeline; upcoming; worst economic contraction; WWI; zero; Zero Hedge.

Credit Writedowns Fri 2010-07-16 14:22 EDT

Paul McCulley does Modern Monetary Theory

PIMCO's Paul McCulley: ``the Financial Times' Martin Wolf...cited in a recent column the financial balances approach of the late Wynne Godley...Godley's analytical framework should be the workhorse of discussions of global rebalancing, in the context of a deficiency of global aggregate demand. So, it was wonderful to see Martin riding Godley's horse...'' Edward Harrison: McCulley makes my point that government deficits are not the cause of private sector surpluses but rather the reverse -- private sector debt distress is causing deleveraging and driving up net savings -- which causes greater government deficits.

credit writedowns; Modern Monetary Theory; Paul McCulley.

Wed 2010-06-09 18:56 EDT

Rajiv Sethi: The New Market Makers

...the SEC's preliminary report on the flash crash...led me to believe that most of this activity was caused by algorithmic trading strategies placing directional bets based on rapid responses to incoming market data. Two strategies in particular -- momentum ignition and order anticipation -- were explicitly mentioned as potentially destabilizing forces in the SEC's January Concept Release on Equity Market Structure. The SEC invited comments on the release, and dozens of these have been posted to date. There is one in particular, submitted by R.T. Leuchtkafer about three weeks before the crash, that I think is especially informative and analytically compelling...Leuchtkafer traces the history of recent changes in market microstructure and examines the resulting implications for the timing of liquidity demand and supply...The standard argument against increased regulation of the new market makers is that it would interfere with their ability to supply liquidity. Leuchtkafer argues, instead, that the strategies used by these firms cause them to demand liquidity at precisely those moments when liquidity is shortest supply...

New Market Makers; Rajiv Sethi.

zero hedge Sun 2010-05-09 09:25 EDT

Dissecting The Crash

Here are two accounts dissecting in detail the events from yesterday. One is from Dan Hinckley at Wild Analytics, the second from Dan O'Brien. ...The idea that it was a 'fat finger' error is ludicrous; unless the fat finger hit every market in the world virtually simultaneously. Liquidity simply left the world financial markets for about four minutes this afternoon. The bids just vanished...In one second more or less someone (and yes, under these circumstances, human beings take control of the machines) made the decision to pull the bids on every equity in the S&P, every financial futures contract, every FX contract in every market in the world. This kind of thing just doesn't happen in a pure auction environment; there just isn't a tight enough communication link between the parties to allow the decisions to propagate within the same second -- even with HFT algorithms. No. Some human made the decision to pull the bids; all of them, all at once. If that is not a condemnation of the concentration of financial power and the systematic risk it engenders I don't know what is...How does all of this happen? Well, you can thank the Federal Reserve... 1) The Fed prints fake money out of thin air... 2) Large banks and hedge funds borrow money from the Fed at near-ZERO interest rates... 3) These institutions buy Treasuries with a guaranteed 4% return, thus guaranteeing the banks massive and risk-free profits on the backs of the middle class (remember, you're not allowed to earn an interest rate on your savings accounts!)... 4) These institutions then swap Treasuries with the Fed for cash... 5) These same institutions (banks) then take the cash and gun the stock market higher with its FREE MONEY from the government...I meant free money from you. By the way, were you asked to vote on this? Frankly, it's better than free money - they're being PAID to do this... 6) Banks pay the very clown-posse that cause the 2008 crash (and today's) the largest bonuses...EVER...with your tax dollars.

Crash; dissecting; Zero Hedge.

The Full Feed from HuffingtonPost.com Thu 2010-01-07 19:46 EST

D+7: Shock and Awe

..the burning question, of course, is "will moving your money have an effect?" And by effect, I don't mean making a momentary political statement. I mean making a structural difference to the country's financial system. The answer is yes, and here's how..if the public shifts a small fraction of the nation's core deposit base into these institutions it magnifies the stabilizing effect on this portion of the financial system. That's provided the receiving bank is already in good shape, of course, and isn't saddled with other problems. That's why the listing tool we created for the MoveYourMoney campaign only shows the best of breed, to our best ability to identify who they might be. I

7; awed; com; D; full Feeds; HuffingtonPost; shocks.

Jesse's Café Américain Mon 2009-10-26 09:52 EDT

The US Power Elite: An Alliance of Convenience or a Ménage à Trois?

"I submit that our spendthrift government, the Federal Reserve System and the TBTF banks together now comprise the paramount political tendency in America today. This tripartite "Alliance of Convenience," let's not call it a conspiracy, fits beautifully into the corporatist mold that seems to be America in the 21st Century - but only viewed by the elites in cities like New York and Washington. Many Americans of all political descriptions oppose this corrupt and unaccountable political formulation." Chris Whalen, Institutional Risk Analytics

alliance; convenience; Jesse's Café Américain; Ménage à Trois; power elites.

Mon 2009-09-21 13:47 EDT

The Hole in the FDIC

This week we continue to look at what powers the forces of deflation...This week we look at one more factor: bank lending. I give you a sneak preview of what will be an explosive report from Institutional Risk Analytics about the problems in the banking sector. Are you ready for the FDIC to be down as much as $400 billion?

FDIC; holes.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: The Big Banks vs. America: A Roundtable with David Kotok and Josh Rosner

The Big Banks vs. America: A Roundtable with David Kotok and Josh Rosner; Institutional Risk Analytics

America; big banks; David Kotok; Institutional Risk Analyst; Josh Rosner; Roundtable.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Too Big to Bail: Lehman Brothers is the Model for Fixing the Zombie Banks

Why Lehman Brothers is the Model for Fixing the Zombie Banks, by Institutional Risk Analytics

bailed; big; Fix; Institutional Risk Analyst; Lehman Brothers; model; zombie banks.

Thu 2009-01-15 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Bank Stress Index Up in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU?

US Bank Stress Rises 7% in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU? IRA (Institutional Risk Analytics)

Bank Stress Index; CDS Start; EU; final solution; Institutional Risk Analyst; Q3.

Fri 2008-12-12 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Bank Stress Index Up in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU?

US Bank Stress Rises 7% in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU? by by Institutional Risk Analytics

Bank Stress Index; CDS Start; EU; final solution; Institutional Risk Analyst; Q3.

Wed 2008-12-10 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner, the AIG Fiasco and Citigroup

What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner the AIG CDS Fiasco, by Institutional Risk Analytics (Chris Whalen)

AIG fiascos; Barack Obama needed; Citigroup; Institutional Risk Analyst; know; Tim Geithner.

Tue 2008-11-25 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner, the AIG Fiasco and Citigroup

What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner the AIG CDS Fiasco, by Institutional Risk Analytics

AIG fiascos; Barack Obama needed; Citigroup; Institutional Risk Analyst; know; Tim Geithner.

Sun 2008-11-23 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: New Hope for Financial Economics: Interview with Bill Janeway

A New Hope for Financial Economics: Interview with Bill Janeway; Institutional Risk Analytics; modern economics ``a kind of religious movement, a willed suspension of disbelief''

Bill Janeway; Financial Economics; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview; new hope.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: How Credit Default Swap Settlements Are Draining Liquidity From Interbank Market

Institutional Risk Analytics; CDS settlements

Credit default swap settlement; Draining Liquidity; interbank markets; naked capitalism.

Tue 2008-10-07 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Banking Expert: Bailout Not Necessary, Industry Can Take Losses

Bert Ely, Institutional Risk Analytics

Bailout; banking experts; Industrial; naked capitalism; necessary; taking losses.

Tue 2008-10-07 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: What is to be Done?: Interview with Bert Ely

What is to be Done?: Interview with Bert Ely, by Institutional Risk Analytics

Bert Ely; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview.

Tue 2008-10-07 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: A Workable, Private Bank Assistance Plan or Why President Bush Should Fire Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson

A Workable, Private Bank Assistance Plan or Why President Bush Should Fire Bernanke and Paulson Right Now, by Institutional Risk Analytics

Fire Ben Bernanke; Hank Paulson; Institutional Risk Analyst; President Bush; Private Bank Assistance Plan; Workable.

Tue 2008-09-23 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Memo to the President-Elect; How Much Capital Does a Bank Need?

Memo to the President-Elect; How Much Capital Does a Bank Need? by Institutional Risk Analytics

banks need; capitalism; Institutional Risk Analyst; memo; President elections.

Mon 2008-09-08 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Paulson Begins Gradual Wind-Down of GSEs within Conservatorship

Paulson Begins Gradual Wind-Down of GSEs within Conservatorship, by Institutional Risk Analytics; ``Now that the Treasury at least partly has followed our recommendation and taken the GSEs off the table as a concern for the bond investors who hold trillions of dollars worth of GSE debt, the markets and the respective presidential candidates can focus on the next, more pressing challenge, namely helping to refloat the US banking system''

conservatorship; GSEs; Institutional Risk Analyst; Paulson Begins Gradual Wind.

Tue 2008-09-02 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Is Countrywide Financial Headed for Bankruptcy?

Is Countrywide Financial Headed for Bankruptcy? by Institutional Risk Analytics, 2008-08-06

bankruptcy; Countrywide Financial Headed; Institutional Risk Analyst.

Tue 2008-09-02 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: US Banks: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

US Banks: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly, by Institutional Risk Analytics; 2008-07-23

bad; bank; good; Institutional Risk Analyst; ugly.

Tue 2008-09-02 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: A Change in Bank Control: Interview With Ernest Patrikis

A Change in Bank Control: Interview With Ernest Patrikis, by Institutional Risk Analytics; 2008-07-09

bank control; change; Ernest Patrikis; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview.

Tue 2008-09-02 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Memo to the President-Elect; How Much Capital Does a Bank Need?

Memo to the President-Elect; How Much Capital Does a Bank Need? by Institutional Risk Analytics

banks need; capitalism; Institutional Risk Analyst; memo; President elections.

Wed 2008-05-28 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Fed Risk: Interview with Richard Alford

Fed Risk: Interview with Dick Alford; Institutional Risk Analytics; former fed economist Richard Alford argues Fed misread inflation for deflation, Fed fighting the wrong battles; "US population is not ready to hear that their real levels of income, assets prices and other indicia of national well being may be falling or relatively stagnant for the foreseeable future."

Fed Risks; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview; Richard Alford.

Wed 2008-05-07 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: An Involuntary Transaction: Why BAC + CFC May Never Close

Involuntary Transaction or Why BAC+CFC May Never Close, by Institutional Risk Analytics; Reis and Flynn, False Security; historic resemblence to 1920s; BAC is unable to close the CFC transaction due to uncertainty regarding CFC liabilities; CFC debt holders urged to pull Chapter 7 bankruptcy trigger!

BAC; CFC; closed; Institutional Risk Analyst; Involuntary Transaction.

Sun 2008-05-04 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Update: Are Countrywide Financial Bond Holders Bankruptcy Remote?

Update: Are CFC Bond Holders Bankruptcy Remote? by Institutional Rick Analytics; BAC refusing CFC debt commitment?

Countrywide Financial Bond Holders Bankruptcy Remote; Institutional Risk Analyst; Update.

Wed 2008-04-16 00:00 EDT

Institutional Risk Analytics

Large OTC Markets + Excessive Leverage + Fair Value Accounting = Systemic Risk, by The Institutional Risk Analyst; FAS 157; JPMorgan "an uncapitalized, $76 trillion OTC derivatives exchange with a $1.3 trillion asset bank appendage"

Institutional Risk Analytics.

Tue 2008-04-01 00:00 EDT

Institutional Risk Analytics

Novated Bears & the Education of Ben Bernanke, by BSC sacrificed to rescue primary dealer community

Institutional Risk Analytics.

Tue 2008-03-25 00:00 EDT

Institutional Risk Analytics

JP Morgan Rolls the Fed of New York (and BSC too), by The Institutional Risk Analyst

Institutional Risk Analytics.

Thu 2008-03-13 00:00 EDT

Finding a catalog

generating analytical catalog records from well-structured digital texts, by David Mimno, Alison Jones, Gregory Crane (2005); named-entity extraction

catalog; find.