dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

guarantees Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

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Fri 2009-09-04 19:05 EDT

Lehman downfall triggered by UK and US mix-up

*** Communication breakdown revealed in first-hand accounts of bank collapse *** Blame game goes on as G20 ministers prepare for crucial London talks A breakdown in communications at the highest level between the US and the UK led to the shock collapse of the investment bank Lehman Brothers in September last year, a Guardian/Observer investigation has revealed. The downfall of Lehman, which triggered the biggest banking crisis since the Great Depression, came after a rescue bid by the high street bank Barclays failed to materialise. In London, the Treasury, the Bank of England and the Financial Services Authority all believed that the US government would step in with a financial guarantee for the troubled Wall Street bank.

Lehman downfall triggered; mixed; UK.

zero hedge Fri 2009-08-28 17:15 EDT

The Oil-Gas Six Sigma Dislocation

The CFTC has earned its stripes by allowing speculators to take the oil to natty relationship to unprecedented arb levels. Represented in energy content equivalents, where oil traditionally has been in the 6x-12x range for gas, the most recent reading is 26.36! This is, as the chart indicates, your six sigma event for the day. A long NG1 - short CL1 arb may take some abuse but absent Amaranth coming out of somewhere (and even they were eventually prosecuted), this relationship should collapse to some semblance of normalcy. Although in this bizarro market it is guaranteed to do the opposite of what any fundamental or technical relationships dictate.

Oil gas; Sigma Dislocation; Zero Hedge.

ClubOrlov Wed 2009-08-26 14:22 EDT

That Bastion of American Socialism...the United States military

Over the past few months the American mainstream chatter has experienced a sudden spike in the gratuitous use of the term "Socialist." It was prompted by the attempts of the federal government to resuscitate insolvent financial institutions. These attempts included offers of guarantees to their clients, injections of large sums of borrowed public money, and granting them access to almost-free credit that was magically summoned ex nihilo by the Federal Reserve. To some observers, these attempts looked like an emergency nationalization of the finance sector was underway, prompting them to cry "Socialism!" Their cries were not as strident as one would expect, bereft of the usual disdain that normally accompanies the use of this term. Rather, it was proffered with a wan smile, because the commentators could find nothing... ``Since the end of the Civil War, Americans have become accustomed to thinking of war as something that happens elsewhere, to other people. Thus, the news that the US is bombing this or that land, for no adequate reason, killing and maiming numerous civilians, produces in us neither the normal human reaction of revulsion, nausea and disgust, nor the conviction that we must take the fight to our own monstrous leaders, lest we too become monsters. Life under domestic military occupation might bring home some welcome realizations, and start Americans down the long road of atoning for the sins of their forefathers, who have run roughshod over much of the rest of the planet for far too long.''

American social; bastion; ClubOrlov; United States military.

The IRA Analyst Fri 2009-07-24 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Mortgage Duration Risk: The Banks Are No Longer the Problem

``Washington has indeed fixed the solvency problems of the large zombie banks...by turning them into GSEs via FDIC guarantees on their debt.''

bank; Institutional Risk Analyst; IRA Analyst; longer; Mortgage Duration Risk; problem.

Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Some Musings on Financial Innovation

Martin Mayer ``the whole purpose of the innovation is to get around the existing regulation''; John Maynard Keynes `` When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done.'' Yves: ``ncreasing the liquidity of credit risk, even assuming it worked as advertised, seemed guaranteed to mean that everyone would be more casual about assuming it''

financial innovation; mused; naked capitalism.

Thu 2009-05-07 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Case Against the Fed and Fractional Reserve Lending

``Fractional Reserve Lending (FRL)...in conjunction with micro-mismanagement of interest rates by the Fed is the root cause of the financial crisis''; ``FRL is the enabler for credit bubbles. Given enough time, credit bubbles are guaranteed to implode in deflationary fashion.'' austrian economic libertarian critique

Case; Fed; fractional reserves lending; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Mon 2009-04-06 00:00 EDT

Bill Moyers Journal . Transcripts | PBS

ex-banking regulator William K. Black calls fraud: ``make really bad loans, because they pay better. Then you grow extremely rapidly, in other words, you're a Ponzi-like scheme. And the third thing you do is we call it leverage. That just means borrowing a lot of money, and the combination creates a situation where you have guaranteed record profits in the early years. That makes you rich, through the bonuses that modern executive compensation has produced. It also makes it inevitable that there's going to be a disaster down the road.''

Bill Moyers Journal; PBS; Transcript.

Tue 2008-10-28 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Worthless Guarantees and Printing Presses

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis; printing press; Worthless Guarantees.

Tue 2008-10-07 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Treasury Money Market Guarantee Finally Launched

naked capitalism; Treasury Money Market Guarantee Finally Launched.

Tue 2008-08-26 00:00 EDT

The End of the Beginning -- Developments in the Credit Crisis

The End of the Beginning - Developments in the Credit Crisis, by Satyajit Das (Prudent Bear); 2008-05-27; ``limited recognition of the massive de-leveraging of the global financial system that is under way.'' ``The banking systems ability to supply credit is significantly impaired and will remain so for the foreseeable future.'' ``Changes in financial markets will have a significant impact on many companies that now rely on financial engineering rather than real engineering'' Das proposes: ``holdings and values of risky assets held by banks and investment banks must be accurately determined...Risky assets must be valued on a hold-to-maturity basis...Mark-to-market accounting should be suspended...Capital levels should be set on a bank-by-bank basis by regulators...Capital requirements should be eased...government [should] guarantee of all major bank liabilities''

Begins; credit crisis; develop; ending.

Sun 2008-08-24 00:00 EDT

Here comes the downsizing of finance

by Martin Hutchinson (Prudent Bear); auction-rate securities (ARS); credit default swaps (CDS); ``CDS market creates many times as much risk as it hedges or transfers''; GSEs ``leveraged more than would have been possible without the governments quasi-guarantee, lobbied like to crazy to ensure they were not properly regulated and collapsed thankfully into the arms of the taxpayer as soon as ill winds began to blow...by their presence they turned the soundest product in financial markets, the home mortgage, into an obscene speculative casino, causing collateral damage of many times their own losses.'' ``much of the financial services innovation of the last generation was spurious and unsound, and needs to be done away with''

comes; downsizing; finance.

Mon 2008-08-04 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment

Bagehot's Rule and the Cost of Being "Technically Insolvent"; "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were given open-ended government guarantees through January 2009. This open-endedness is a big mistake, because the potential costs are being as vastly understated as the pre-war estimates of the Iraq invasion."

Hussman Funds; weekly market comments.

Tue 2008-07-22 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: BofA Conference Call: HELOCs and Countrywide

"we don't intend to guarantee the public debt but we understand the ramification of not paying"

BofA Conference Call; Calculated Risk; Countrywide; HELOC.

Sat 2008-05-17 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Media Rorschach Test: Divergent Readings on the Saudis' Wee Production Increase

Bush's visit to Israel's 60th birthday celebration preceding Saudi visit guaranteed cool reception; Saudi's may gain influence by increasing production AFTER US election

Divergent Readings; Media Rorschach Test; naked capitalism; Saudi; Wee Production Increase.

Sat 2008-05-03 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Bank of America May Not Guarantee Countrywide Debt

America; bank; Guarantee Countrywide Debt; naked capitalism.

Thu 2007-12-27 00:00 EST

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Did the Grinch Steal Christmas?

Winter (Economic & Market) Watch >> Did the Grinch Steal Christmas? FHLB not creating liquidity, until bailout; guarantee is merely implicit

economic; Grinch Steal Christmas; Market; watch; winter.

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