dimelab dimelab: shrinking the gap between talk and action.

Institutional Risk Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog

Institutional Risk Analyst (43); Institutional Risk Analytics (26).

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zero hedge - on a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero Sat 2010-09-25 09:47 EDT

Chris Whalen On The Upcoming "Worst Economic Contraction Since WWI (Forget WWII)"

The erosion of the profitability of the U.S. banking industry over the past two years under the glorious Summers-Geithner-Bernanke rescue scheme is the proverbial fly in the ointment for both major political parties. Democrats and republicans alike are going to be fed into the meat grinder over the next several years as the banking sector deals with literally hundreds of billions of dollars in direct and indirect expenses from the deflation of the mortgage bubble. For the economy, this slow process of muddle along championed by Summers and Geithner will ensure that Barack Obama becomes the Herbert Hoover of the Democratic Party. The economic carnage that will causes these losses, as we described in a recent post in Reuters, "Double Dip or Global Deflation?," is going to represent the worst economic contraction since WWI. Forget WWII. Think "shrinkage" to use the Gilded Age description for economic deflation. And frankly nothing that either the Fed or Treasury does in the near-term can change this basic economic fact of restructuring...the economic situation at BAC and among all of the legacy zombie banks continues to worsen. No amount of bullshit from Washington changes the fundamental economic situation inside the largest U.S. lenders.

Chris Whalen; dropped; Forget WWII; long; survival rate; Timeline; upcoming; worst economic contraction; WWI; zero; Zero Hedge.

Jesse's Café Américain Mon 2010-04-19 18:34 EDT

Goldman Sachs: A Pattern of Organized Criminal Behaviour?

Chris Whalen provides some excellent commentary on the Goldman Sachs fraud inquiry by the SEC at the beginning of his weekly newsletter, The Institutional Risk Analyst...``hedge funds often times are merely extensions of the dealers with which they interact. It is often difficult if not impossible to tell where the dealer's interests end and those of the hedge fund begin, especially when the dealer and the fund seem to be working in concert to create securities that are being sold to third parties. This episode is a terrible mess and, to us at least, illustrates why the OTC markets for securities and derivatives need to be regulated out of existence -- or at least into compliance with norms of disclosure and fair dealing that would render such strategies impossible.''

Goldman Sachs; Jesse's Café Américain; Organized Criminal Behaviour; pattern.

The Full Feed from HuffingtonPost.com Thu 2010-01-07 19:46 EST

D+7: Shock and Awe

..the burning question, of course, is "will moving your money have an effect?" And by effect, I don't mean making a momentary political statement. I mean making a structural difference to the country's financial system. The answer is yes, and here's how..if the public shifts a small fraction of the nation's core deposit base into these institutions it magnifies the stabilizing effect on this portion of the financial system. That's provided the receiving bank is already in good shape, of course, and isn't saddled with other problems. That's why the listing tool we created for the MoveYourMoney campaign only shows the best of breed, to our best ability to identify who they might be. I

7; awed; com; D; full Feeds; HuffingtonPost; shocks.

The IRA Analyst Sun 2009-12-13 09:11 EST

Three Strikes on Ben Bernanke: AIG, Goldman Sachs and BAC/TARP

To us, the confirmation hearings last week before the Senate Banking Committee only reaffirm in our minds that Ben Bernanke does not deserve a second term as Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AIG; BAC/TARP; Ben Bernanke; Goldman Sachs; IRA Analyst; striking.

Jesse's Café Américain Mon 2009-10-26 09:52 EDT

The US Power Elite: An Alliance of Convenience or a Ménage à Trois?

"I submit that our spendthrift government, the Federal Reserve System and the TBTF banks together now comprise the paramount political tendency in America today. This tripartite "Alliance of Convenience," let's not call it a conspiracy, fits beautifully into the corporatist mold that seems to be America in the 21st Century - but only viewed by the elites in cities like New York and Washington. Many Americans of all political descriptions oppose this corrupt and unaccountable political formulation." Chris Whalen, Institutional Risk Analytics

alliance; convenience; Jesse's Café Américain; Ménage à Trois; power elites.

Mon 2009-09-21 13:47 EDT

The Hole in the FDIC

This week we continue to look at what powers the forces of deflation...This week we look at one more factor: bank lending. I give you a sneak preview of what will be an explosive report from Institutional Risk Analytics about the problems in the banking sector. Are you ready for the FDIC to be down as much as $400 billion?

FDIC; holes.

The IRA Analyst Thu 2009-07-30 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Kabuki on the Potomac: Reforming Credit Default Swaps and OTC Derivatives

-- he Masters of the Universe who run the largest Wall Street firms of have learned not a thing when it comes to credit default swaps ("CDS") and other types of high-risk financial engineering. Indeed, not only are the largest derivative dealers fighting efforts to reform the CDS and other derivative instruments that caused the AIG fiasco, but regulators like the Federal Reserve Board and US Treasury are working with the banks to ensure that a small group of dealers increase their monopoly over the business of over-the-counter ("OTC") derivatives.''

Institutional Risk Analyst; IRA Analyst; Kabuki; OTC derivative; Potomac; Reforming Credit Default Swaps.

The IRA Analyst Fri 2009-07-24 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Mortgage Duration Risk: The Banks Are No Longer the Problem

``Washington has indeed fixed the solvency problems of the large zombie banks...by turning them into GSEs via FDIC guarantees on their debt.''

bank; Institutional Risk Analyst; IRA Analyst; longer; Mortgage Duration Risk; problem.

The IRA Analyst Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Zombie Update; Pento on Bernanke's Permanently Expanded Balance Sheet

``This zombie dance party ain't over. No sir.'' Michael Pento: ``Bernanke will be hard-pressed to substantially raise rates to combat inflation once consumer and wholesale prices begin to significantly increase.''

Bernanke's Permanently Expanded Balance Sheet; Institutional Risk Analyst; IRA Analyst; Pento; Zombie Update.

The IRA Analyst Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Can Citigroup Be Restructured Without an FDIC Resolution?

Citigroup; FDIC Resolution; Institutional Risk Analyst; IRA Analyst; restructuring.

The IRA Analyst Thu 2009-06-11 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Credit Default Swaps and Too Big to Fail or Unwind: Interview With Ed Kane

Credit Default Swaps and Too Big to Fail or Unwind: Interview With Ed Kane; ``The whole basis of policy making in Washington today is that the taxpayer is a sucker who does not know how to defend him or her self against this kind of regulatory gambling.''

big; Credit Default Swap; Ed Kane; fail; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview; IRA Analyst; unwinds.

The IRA Analyst Tue 2009-04-21 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Stress Test Zombies: Not Too Big To Fail? Tough Tootsies Little Banks!

2009-03-13; ``The Bernanke/Geithner approach to not dealing with the financial crisis amounts to a hideous public subsidy of the global transactional class, a transfer of wealth from American taxpayers to the institutional investors who hold the bonds and derivative obligations tied to the zombie banks, AIG and the GSEs. All of these companies will require continuing cash subsidies if they are not resolved in bankruptcy.''

bank; big; fail; Institutional Risk Analyst; IRA Analyst; Stress Test Zombies; Tough Tootsies.

Wed 2009-04-01 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Too Big to Bail: Lehman Brothers is the Model for Fixing the Zombie Banks

Why Lehman Brothers is the Model for Fixing the Zombie Banks

bailed; big; Fix; Institutional Risk Analyst; Lehman Brothers; model; zombie banks.

Wed 2009-04-01 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Can We Fix the Banks, Help Homeowners, and Rebuild the Mortgage Markets? Can Do.

Can We Fix the Banks, Help Homeowners, and Rebuild the Securitization Markets? No Problema

bank; Fix; help homeowners; Institutional Risk Analyst; mortgage markets; Rebuilding.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

Jesse's Café Américain: How to Resolve the Mortgage Crisis

Jesse's Café Américain: How to Resolve the Mortgage Crisis; Chris Whalen, The Institutional Risk Analyst

Jesse's Café Américain; mortgage crisis; resolved.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: The Big Banks vs. America: A Roundtable with David Kotok and Josh Rosner

The Big Banks vs. America: A Roundtable with David Kotok and Josh Rosner; Institutional Risk Analytics

America; big banks; David Kotok; Institutional Risk Analyst; Josh Rosner; Roundtable.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Too Big to Bail: Lehman Brothers is the Model for Fixing the Zombie Banks

Why Lehman Brothers is the Model for Fixing the Zombie Banks, by Institutional Risk Analytics

bailed; big; Fix; Institutional Risk Analyst; Lehman Brothers; model; zombie banks.

Fri 2009-01-16 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: On the Economy: For Barack Obama, It's All About Credibility

The Economy: For Barack Obama, It's All About Credibility, by The Institutional Risk Analyst (IRA); ``We just don't think that Geithner has the integrity or the independence of mind to close and sell C, GS and the rest of the larger Wall Street banks...we suggest FDIC chief Sheila Bair.''

Barack Obama; credibility; economy; Institutional Risk Analyst.

Fri 2009-01-16 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Outlook 2009: From Market Disorder to Economic Recovery

Outlook 2009: Market Disorder to Economic Recovery, by The Institutional Risk Analyst; ``In 2009, we predict that the rest of the story will be told regarding AIG and the bailout of Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), JPM and the other CDS dealers banks orchestrated by the Fed and Treasury.''

Economic recovery; Institutional Risk Analyst; Market Disorder; Outlook 2009.

Thu 2009-01-15 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Bank Stress Index Up in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU?

US Bank Stress Rises 7% in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU? IRA (Institutional Risk Analytics)

Bank Stress Index; CDS Start; EU; final solution; Institutional Risk Analyst; Q3.

Thu 2009-01-15 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: On the Prime Solution: Interview with Eric Hovde

The Prime Solution: Interview with Eric Hovde, by The Institutional Risk Analyst (IRA); ``he manifest statist, anti-market tendencies of Ben Bernanke and Tim Geithner should disqualify both of these men from future roles in the economic rebuilding effort''; FICO demise predicted; ``There isn't going to be any [real estate] development in New York once the current projects are complete. Nothing.''; Bear, AIG should all have been put into bankruptcy; ``the same economic team that lit this fuse and let this fuse go 12 years ago is now about to come back into power...It is stunning to me that we are not seeing a wholesale switch-out of these Goldman Sachs participants or their protégés''

Eric Hovde; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview; Prime Solution.

Thu 2009-01-15 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: GSE Nation: Interview with Robert Feinberg

GSE Nation: Interview with Robert Feinberg; The Institutional Risk Analyst (IRA); 2008-03-17; ``the government-sponsored entity or "GSE" is now the preferred business model in the US'' ``public policy has been replaced by public relations in this country. Our leaders don't get told what they don't want to hear because the spin machine let's them pick up the Wall Street Journal and read what they want to read because it was placed by the PR firm hired by the banks or the GSEs for that purpose.''

GSE nationalization; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview; Robert Feinberg.

Fri 2008-12-12 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: Bank Stress Index Up in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU?

US Bank Stress Rises 7% in Q3; Will the Final Solution for CDS Start in EU? by by Institutional Risk Analytics

Bank Stress Index; CDS Start; EU; final solution; Institutional Risk Analyst; Q3.

Wed 2008-12-10 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner, the AIG Fiasco and Citigroup

What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner the AIG CDS Fiasco, by Institutional Risk Analytics (Chris Whalen)

AIG fiascos; Barack Obama needed; Citigroup; Institutional Risk Analyst; know; Tim Geithner.

Tue 2008-11-25 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner, the AIG Fiasco and Citigroup

What Barack Obama Needs to Know About Tim Geithner the AIG CDS Fiasco, by Institutional Risk Analytics

AIG fiascos; Barack Obama needed; Citigroup; Institutional Risk Analyst; know; Tim Geithner.

Sun 2008-11-23 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: New Hope for Financial Economics: Interview with Bill Janeway

A New Hope for Financial Economics: Interview with Bill Janeway; Institutional Risk Analytics; modern economics ``a kind of religious movement, a willed suspension of disbelief''

Bill Janeway; Financial Economics; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview; new hope.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: How Credit Default Swap Settlements Are Draining Liquidity From Interbank Market

Institutional Risk Analytics; CDS settlements

Credit default swap settlement; Draining Liquidity; interbank markets; naked capitalism.

Fri 2008-11-07 00:00 EST

The Institutional Risk Analyst: In the Fog of Volatility, the Notional Becomes Payable

In the Fog of Volatility, the Notional Becomes Payable; ``price is not presently a valid surrogate for value''; 2008-10-27

fog; Institutional Risk Analyst; Notional Becomes Payable; volatility.

Tue 2008-10-07 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Banking Expert: Bailout Not Necessary, Industry Can Take Losses

Bert Ely, Institutional Risk Analytics

Bailout; banking experts; Industrial; naked capitalism; necessary; taking losses.

Tue 2008-10-07 00:00 EDT

The Institutional Risk Analyst: What is to be Done?: Interview with Bert Ely

What is to be Done?: Interview with Bert Ely, by Institutional Risk Analytics

Bert Ely; Institutional Risk Analyst; interview.

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