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naked capitalism Sun 2009-09-20 10:17 EDT

Guest Post: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard & the City's hard EU choices

The City's political clout in Brussels is waning as the UK's financial industry model has gone from being the envy of the European peers to being a liability. Meanwhile, the EU will in the future probably be proposing new banking and financial services legislation that may be superficially marketed by decision-makers as striving to provide a clear cut with the existing Anglo-Saxon casino model. This guest post will discuss some of the fundamental choices that the City is facing, the most significant being whether or not to be advocating a UK withdrawal from the EU altogether.

Ambrose Evans Pritchard; City's hard EU choices; Guest Post; naked capitalism.

Thu 2009-09-17 10:02 EDT

``No One Saw This Coming'': Understanding Financial Crisis Through Accounting Models - Munich RePEc Personal Archive

This paper presents evidence that accounting (or flow-of-fund) macroeconomic models helped anticipate the credit crisis and economic recession. Equilibrium models ubiquitous in mainstream policy and research did not. This study identifies core differences, traces their intellectual pedigrees, and includes case studies of both types of models. It so provides constructive recommendations on revising methods of financial stability assessment. Overall, the paper is a plea for research into the link between accounting concepts and practices and macro economic outcomes.

accounts model; comes; Munich RePEc Personal Archive; saw; Understanding Financial Crisis.

Thu 2009-09-17 09:31 EDT

Why capitalism fails - The Boston Globe

Mainstream economics rediscovers Hyman Minsky; ``Instability,'' he wrote, ``is an inherent and inescapable flaw of capitalism.''...Minsky drew his own, far darker, lessons from Keynes's landmark writings, which dealt not only with the problem of unemployment, but with money and banking...Minsky argued that Keynes's collective work amounted to a powerful argument that capitalism was by its very nature unstable and prone to collapse. Far from trending toward some magical state of equilibrium, capitalism would inevitably do the opposite. It would lurch over a cliff...Minsky spent the last years of his life, in the early 1990s, warning of the dangers of securitization and other forms of financial innovation, but few economists listened. Nor did they pay attention to consumers' and companies' growing dependence on debt, and the growing use of leverage within the financial system... Minsky...argued for a ``bubble-up'' approach, sending money to the poor and unskilled first. The government - or what he liked to call ``Big Government'' - should become the ``employer of last resort,'' he said, offering a job to anyone who wanted one at a set minimum wage. It would be paid to workers who would supply child care, clean streets, and provide services that would give taxpayers a visible return on their dollars. In being available to everyone, it would be even more ambitious than the New Deal, sharply reducing the welfare rolls by guaranteeing a job for anyone who was able to work. Such a program would not only help the poor and unskilled, he believed, but would put a floor beneath everyone else's wages too, preventing salaries of more skilled workers from falling too precipitously, and sending benefits up the socioeconomic ladder.

Boston Globe; Capitalism Failed.

naked capitalism Mon 2009-09-14 14:51 EDT

Guest Post: Sarkozy, Stiglitz & capitalism's inherent contradictions

The French Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress presented its final Report written by Stiglitz and other leading economists at an event at la Sorbonne earlier today. The contents of Report is already being discussed widely but at least as relevant are the politics surrounding the Commission's Report and how France intends to use it to spearhead economic reform at home and abroad. This post provides a few comments on Sarkozy's speech.

capitalism's inherent contradictions; Guest Post; naked capitalism; Sarkozy; Stiglitz.

Bruce Krasting Tue 2009-09-08 12:06 EDT

Wallboard - China Inc.+$25mm, USA $-3.2b

The Wall Street Journal had an interesting piece Tuesday on defective wallboard that had been imported from China . The LA Times had a more detailed discussion of this problem on July 4th. This article makes a case that the wall material may contain radioactive material. It provides the names of some of the companies involved. The problematic wallboard was sent to the US in 2006. These imports totaled $25 million. The WSJ estimates that the cost of repairing a home that has this material is $100,000. The LAT piece puts the number of homes involved at 32,000. Put those two numbers together. There are $3.2billion of losses relating to $25mm of wallboard.

25MM; 2B; 3; Bruce Krasting; China Inc; USA; wallboard.

Satyajit Das's Blog - Fear & Loathing in Financial Products Sun 2009-08-30 12:20 EDT

El-dollardo Economics

In the 1980s, the Japanese were taking over the world. In the 1990s, it was going to be an ?Asian? century. These days the pundits are betting on the ?Chinese Age?. Like all such glib predictions, despite their superficial appeal, they mask complex undercurrents and issues that require careful study. Business journalist Michael Schuman's The Miracle: The Epic Story of Asia's Quest for Wealth. Paul Midler's Poorly Made in China; quality fade. Underlying both `The Miracle' and `Poorly Made in China' is a view of the emerging world best captured by the term `Orientalism', associated with Edward Said...the West's view of the East was shaped by political power and unequal commercial exchange. Said's work built on George Orwell's criticism of colonialism. Former Chinese premier Zhao Ziyang's secret journal `Prisoner of the State' provides antidote to a Western view of East Asia.

El-dollardo Economics; fears; financial products; loath; Satyajit Das's Blog.

ClubOrlov Wed 2009-08-26 11:24 EDT

Definancialisation, Deglobalisation, Relocalisation

This talk was presented at The New Emergency Conference in Dublin, on June 11, 2009. ``we all have to prepare for life without much money, where imported goods are scarce, and where people have to provide for their own needs, and those of their immediate neighbours'' ``Most of the wealth is in very few private hands right now. Governments and the vast majority of the people only have debt. It is important to convince people who control all this wealth that they really have two choices. They can trust their investment advisers, maintain their current portfolios, and eventually lose everything. Or they can use their wealth to reengage with people and the land in new ways, in which case they stand a chance of saving something for themselves and their children. They can build and launch lifeboats, recruit crew, and set them sailing.'' 1. Good morning. The title of this talk is a bit of a mouthful, but what I want to say can be summed up in simpler words: we all have to prepare for life without much money, where imported goods are scarce, and where people have to provide for their own needs, and those of their immediate neighbours. I will take as my point of departure the unfolding collapse of the global economy, and discuss what might come next. It started with the collapse of the financial markets last year, and is now resulting in unprecedented decreases in the volumes of international trade. These developments are also starting to affect the political stability of...

ClubOrlov; Definancialisation; Deglobalisation; relocalisation.

Thu 2009-07-23 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Is Liquidity Really Good for You?

``just because a certain amount of liquidity is good, it does not necessarily follow that more is always better''; Richard Kline: ``The first issue when liquidity is provided to markets for any overall regulator, should and must be, "How do we prevent asset overpricing as a consequence? "''

Liquidity Really Good; naked capitalism.

Tue 2009-04-21 00:00 EDT

naked capitalism: Guest Post: Bailoutspotting (or The Search For The Great Financial Methadone Clinic)

``Using pretexts, subterfuge and lies, the administration's charade triage will only end once there are no more gullible taxpayers to provide their cash, no more demagogue senators and congressmen who will bend reality to make it seem that their actions benefiting a select few are for the benefit of all, and no more naive investors who buy into the promises that U.S. debt is the "safest investment."''

Bailoutspotting; Great Financial Methadone Clinic; Guest Post; naked capitalism; search.

Mon 2009-01-19 00:00 EST

Calculated Risk: Treasury, Federal Reserve, and the FDIC Provide Assistance to Bank of America

America; bank; Calculated Risk; FDIC Provide Assistance; Federal Reserve; Treasury.

Sun 2008-11-23 00:00 EST

Michael Hudson: Bankers Shake Down Congress and the G-20

(CounterPunch); ``all markets are planned, and have been ever since calendars were developed...Most market structures throughout history have been organized in a way that provides the vested interests with a free lunch. This remains the essence of post-feudal capitalism or as some have expressed it, corporativism.''

Bankers Shake; Congress; G-20; Michael Hudson.

Tue 2008-10-28 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - Weekly Market Comment: Four Magic Words - "We Are Providing Capital" - October 13, 2008

``Stocks are now measurably undervalued''

2008; Hussman Funds; magic words; October 13; provide capital; weekly market comments.

Wed 2008-07-23 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: Report: Deal Reached on Housing Legislation

"Treasury would be barred from providing aid that would cause a breach in the federal debt ceiling"

Calculated Risk; deal reach; House Legislation; report.

Mon 2008-06-23 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: More on Bear Stearns Indictment

"managers knew specific material information about the condition of the funds, and then provided false information to investors."

Bear Stearns Indictment; Calculated Risk.

Fri 2008-04-18 00:00 EDT

Jesse's Café Américain: Bankers Ask: Are the Bankers Rigging the Markets?

Jesse's Café Américain: Bankers Ask: Are the Bankers Rigging the Markets? "LIBOR rates might be 'fixed' by large global banks providing false information."

Bankers Ask; Bankers Rigging; Jesse's Café Américain; Market.

Mon 2007-09-17 00:00 EDT

Hussman Funds - The Fed: Magical Fairies and Pixie Dust - September 17, 2007

Hussman Funds - The Fed: Magical Fairies and Pixie Dust; "The Fed provides coordination, but it is a mistake to think it has power."

2007; Fed; Hussman Funds; magical fairy; pixie dust; September 17.

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