Jesse's Café Américain Wed 2010-01-13 11:45 EST
Weekly Gold Chart
1100 is key support. 1180 is key resistance.Everything else is noise.
Key Topic in The Credit Debacle Catalog
Mon 2010-01-04 17:56 EST
Salon.com | Another Goldman executive named to key government post as its profits skyrocket
A Goldman Sachs executive has been named the first chief operating officer of the Securities and Exchange Commission's enforcement division. The market watchdog says Adam Storch, vice president in Goldman Sachs' Business Intelligence Group, is assuming the new position of managing executive of the SEC division.
com; Goldman executive named; key government post; profits skyrocket; Salon.
zero hedge Sun 2010-01-03 23:46 EST
This Is The Government: Your Legal Right To Redeem Your Money Market Account Has Been Denied
...A key proposal in the overhaul of money market regulation suggests that money market fund managers will have the option to "suspend redemptions to allow for the orderly liquidation of fund assets."...In essence, the entire US capital market is now a hedge fund, where even presumably the safest investment tranche can be locked out from within your control when the ubiquitous "extraordinary circumstances" arise.
denied; government; legal right; Money-market accounts; redeemed; Zero Hedge.
Calculated Risk Wed 2009-12-30 11:11 EST
Housing Leads the Economy, Existing Home Sales are Irrelevant
...Residential investment is the best leading indicator for the economy. Residential investment will not recover rapidly because of the large overhang of existing vacant housing units. Existing home sales are largely irrelevant for the economy. ...The key to reducing the overall inventory is new household formation (encouraging renters to become owners accomplishes nothing in reducing the overall housing inventory). And the key to new household formation is jobs. And usually the best leading indicator for jobs is residential investment.
Calculated Risk; economy; Existing-Home Sales; housing Lead; irrelevant.
naked capitalism Mon 2009-12-28 14:50 EST
A look back at the debate on the role of monetary and fiscal stimulus in depression
...regarding stimulus and the role of government in a debt-deflationary environment...does fiscal or monetary stimulus work?...the real debate about whether or not to try fiscal stimulus revolves around the role of government and its limitations. Ideologues on one side see government as a parasite which interferes with the free market. On the other side, ideologues see government as the only way out of a crisis of this magnitude. The key sticking point is not just the size of government, but also its effectiveness -- the political will to effect change rather than to favor constituents...So, how has this worked out in practice? Not so well.
Debate; Depression; fiscal stimulus; looking; Monetary; naked capitalism; role.
zero hedge Thu 2009-12-17 10:37 EST
Is Selling US CDS A Risk-Free Way To Short The Dollar?
There has been much conjecture on whether using CDS is an effective way to hedge against US default risk. Many theoreticians, especially those of the post-March lows variety, have sprung up and are speculating that buying Credit Default Swaps on the US is ultimately a futile and pointless endeavor. The main argument: a US default would likely mean that interconnected dealers won't recognize contracts on a US default event, as they themselves will be out of business. Even if they continued to exist, like cockroaches in a postapocalyptic world, the collateral which backs derivatives is mostly US Treasurys: the same obligations that would end up being massively impaired...the US CDS seller syndicate could easily be one of the key sources of dollar short funding: with sellers pocketing euros and immediately going to market and selling dollars...a dollar-short unwind would probably have repercussions in the US CDS market. Not only would the dollar spike, but paradoxically US credit risk would probably widen dramatically...any unwind at the heart of the prevalent risk trade now: the massive dollar carry, would impact virtually every investment product, quite possibly in self-referential feedback loops. If correct, it merely shows how much more the Fed has at stake in keeping the dollar depressed than merely getting mom and pop to buy Amazon at $130/share. Losing control of the carry trade will be the systemic equivalent of allowing Lehman's book to be marked-to-market: a potentially complete collapse in systemic confidence, which would have such far ranging implications as the $300 trillion interest rate derivative market. And when sudden volatility reaches this product universe which is 6 times bigger than world GDP, the events from last year will seem like a dress rehearsal.
CDS; Dollar; Risk-Free Way; sell; short; Zero Hedge.
Wed 2009-12-16 12:40 EST
Obama's Big Sellout : Rolling Stone
What's taken place in the year since Obama won the presidency has turned out to be one of the most dramatic political about-faces in our history. Elected in the midst of a crushing economic crisis brought on by a decade of orgiastic deregulation and unchecked greed, Obama had a clear mandate to rein in Wall Street and remake the entire structure of the American economy. What he did instead was ship even his most marginally progressive campaign advisers off to various bureaucratic Siberias, while packing the key economic positions in his White House with the very people who caused the crisis in the first place. This new team of bubble-fattened ex-bankers and laissez-faire intellectuals then proceeded to sell us all out, instituting a massive, trickle-up bailout and systematically gutting regulatory reform from the inside...
naked capitalism Tue 2009-12-08 18:26 EST
Guest Post: Woman Who Invented Credit Default Swaps [Blythe Masters] is One of the Key Architects of Carbon Derivatives, Which Would Be at the Very CENTER of Cap and Trade
...If the government allows massive carbon derivatives trading with as little oversight as over the CDS market, taxpayers will end up spending many trillions bailing out the giant banks and propping up the economy when the carbon market bubble bursts...(1) the giant banks will make a killing on carbon trading, (2) while the leading scientist crusading against global warming says it won't work, and (3) there is a very high probability of massive fraud and insider trading in the carbon trading markets.
Blythe Masters; capped; carbon derivatives; center; Guest Post; invented credit default swaps; key architect; naked capitalism; trading; Woman.
zero hedge Sun 2009-11-29 12:33 EST
Fed's Bull Dudley Explains Bank Runs, Discusses Collateral Risks, Suggests Way To Prevent Systemic Collapse
An impressively comprehensive presentation by Bill Dudley before the Center for Economic Policy Studies Symposium earlier, discusses, and ties in, all the key concepts Zero Hedge has been discussing over the past several months, among these the tri-party repo system, bank runs (what and why), collateral, moral hazard, maturity mismatch, unsecured markets, Primary Dealer Credit Facility, Commercial Paper Funding Facility, and liquidity. In fact, at some points in the speech we get the feeling Mr. Dudley is indirectly refuting some of Zero Hedge's recent allegations vis-a-vis the Fed's actions and regulatory oversight. The presentation is largely devoid of bias except for some of the proposals on how to avoid future systemic meltdowns, which of course are moral hazard prevention lite and philosophy heavy.
Discusses Collateral Risks; Fed's Bull Dudley Explains Bank Runs; Prevent Systemic Collapse; suggested way; Zero Hedge.
The Full Feed from HuffingtonPost.com Wed 2009-11-25 10:44 EST
Fed Beaten: Bill To Audit Federal Reserve Passes Key Hurdle
In an unprecedented defeat for the Federal Reserve, an amendment to audit the multi-trillion dollar institution was approved by the House Finance Committee with an overwhelming and bipartisan 43-26 vote on Thursday afternoon despite harried last-minute lobbying from top Fed officials and the surprise opposition of Chairman Barney Frank (D-Mass.), who had previously been a supporter. The measure, cosponsored by Reps. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and Alan Grayson (D-Fla.), authorizes the Government Accountability Office to conduct a wide-ranging audit of the Fed's opaque deals with foreign central banks and major U.S. financial institutions. The Fed has never had a real audit in its history and little is known of what it does with the trillions of dollars at its disposal.
Audit Federal Reserve Passes Key Hurdle; billed; com; Fed Beaten; full Feeds; HuffingtonPost.
Jesse's Café Américain Fri 2009-11-20 08:01 EST
Krugman Declares "Mission Accomplished," Maginot Line Completed
...the key to coming out of a crisis permanently is not how quickly and dramatically one inflates the money supply, or even how long one maintains it, and how many stimulus programs one can create, but rather how quickly and capably a country can reform, can change the underlying structures that caused the problem in the first place. Japan has been doing it slowly because of its embedded kereitsu structure and government bureaucracy supported by a de facto one party system under the LDP. In the 1930's the impetus for reform was overturned by a strict constructionist Supreme Court and an obstructionist Republican Congress. The story of our time might be the perils of regulatory and political capture.
Jesse's Café Américain; Krugman declared; Maginot Line Completed; mission accomplished.
naked capitalism Wed 2009-10-14 12:03 EDT
New York Times: Missing in Action on Health Insurance Lobby Duplicity
...the dubious reporting object lesson is the New York Times, on what is supposedly its most prized beat: Washington DC political reporting. The Times ran two articles that verged on sycophantic in its coverage of the health insurance industry as it moved its chess pieces on the health care reform game board. The Times acted as close to a PR outlet...The Financial Times reports tonight that the health insurance industry, after its great show of making nice to the Obama administration, backstabbed it on the eve of a key vote. Do we see any coverage of this duplicity in the US media, much less the New York Times? [excellent commentary by kevin de bruxelles ``Washington General'' and DownSouth ``political theater, perfect dictatorship, and junkyard dogs'']
action; Health Insurance Lobby Duplicity; missing; naked capitalism; New York time.
zero hedge Sun 2009-08-30 15:00 EDT
Was Morgan Stanley Compromised By Project Mayhem?
One of the key headlines these days has been the unmasking of what has been dubbed the biggest identity theft and credit card fraud case in history, allegedly spearheaded by one Albert Gonzalez, who in 2003 was involved in a comparable scheme however upon being caught, promptly became an informant for the Secret Service and turned over 30 of his hacking buddies. Six years later it is he this time who is in the hot seat, together with most of his associates, including one 25 year old Stephen Watt, who supposedly was the creator of the credit card sniffer software used to hack into over 130 million of various credit cards for merchants such as TJX, Dave And Busters and 7-Eleven, which numbers were subsequently sold for hefty sums...
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Thu 2009-08-27 10:52 EDT
Bankrupt Auto Parts Suppliers Seek $100 Million In Executive Bonuses
In every corner, greed continues to amaze. Please consider Bankrupt suppliers seek exec bonuses. A growing number of bankrupt auto suppliers are seeking court approval to pay tens of millions of dollars in bonuses to key executives, as they shed employees and cut costs.
100; Bankrupt Auto Parts Suppliers Seek; executives bonus; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.
Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2009-08-20 16:46 EDT
The Next Wave of the Financial Crisis Is Coming (And Why)
These excerpts from the most recent TARP Congressional Oversight Panel Report make the risks in the US financial system abundantly clear.Do you think that the Congress has the will and the ability to act on their recommendation, with the men currently in positions of power on the key Committees? Do you believe that the Obama Administration is capable of reforming itself and effecting genuine
Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2009-08-20 16:44 EDT
The Next Wave of the Financial Crisis Is Coming (And Why)
These excerpts from the most recent TARP Congressional Oversight Panel Report make the risks in the US financial system abundantly clear.Do you think that the Congress has the will and the ability to act on their recommendation, with the men currently in positions of power on the key Committees? Do you believe that the Obama Administration is capable of reforming itself and effecting genuine