Tue 2009-09-29 11:43 EDT

The Post-Bubble Malaise

Mike Whitney

...the Fed is building excess bank reserves (nearly $1 trillion in the last year alone) with the tacit understanding that the banks will return the favor by purchasing Uncle Sam's sovereign debt. It's all very confusing and circular, in keeping with Bernanke's stated commitment to "transparency". What a laugh. The good news is that the trillions in government paper probably won't increase inflation until the economy begins to improve and the slack in capacity is reduced. Then we can expect to get walloped with hyperinflation. But that could be years off. For the foreseeable future, it's all about deflation...The question is, how long can the Obama administration write checks on an account that's overdrawn by $11 trillion (the national debt) before the foreign appetite for US Treasurys wanes and we have a sovereign debt crisis? If the Fed is faking sales of Treasurys to conceal the damage--as I expect it is--we could see the dollar plunge to $2 per euro by the middle of 2010...The consumer is maxed out, private sector activity is in the tank, and government stimulus is the only thing keeping the economy off the meat-wagon. Bernanke might not admit it, but the economy is sinking into post-bubble malaise.

Post bubble malaise.

Tue 2009-09-29 11:33 EDT

How Bad Will It Get?

Mike Whitney, CounterPunch

In the two years since the crisis began, neither the Fed nor policymakers at the Treasury have taken steps to remove toxic assets from banks balance sheets. The main arteries for credit still remain clogged despite the fact that the Bernanke has added nearly $900 billion in excess reserves to the banking system. Consumers continue to reduce their borrowing despite historically low interest rates and the banks are still hoarding capital to pay off losses from non performing loans and bad assets. Changes in the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) rules for mark-to-market accounting of assets have made it easier for underwater banks to hide their red ink, but, eventually, the losses have to be reported. The wave of banks failures is just now beginning to accelerate. It should persist into 2011. The system is gravely under-capitalized and at risk...The economy cannot recover without a strong consumer. But consumers and households have suffered massive losses and are deeply in debt. Credit lines have been reduced and, for many, the only source of revenue is the weekly paycheck...The current recession has exposed the fault-lines dividing the classes in the US. Neither party represents working people. Both the Democrats and the Republicans are supportive of "social engineering for the rich"; regressive taxation and economic policies which shift a greater portion of the wealth to the richest Americans. The question of inequality, which has grown to levels not seen since the Gilded Age, will dominate the national conversation as the recession deepens and more people slip from the ranks of the middle class...After Obama's stimulus runs out, consumer spending will again sputter and the economy will slide back into recession.

bad.

Thu 2009-09-17 09:31 EDT

Why capitalism fails - The Boston Globe

Stephen Mihm

Mainstream economics rediscovers Hyman Minsky; ``Instability,'' he wrote, ``is an inherent and inescapable flaw of capitalism.''...Minsky drew his own, far darker, lessons from Keynes's landmark writings, which dealt not only with the problem of unemployment, but with money and banking...Minsky argued that Keynes's collective work amounted to a powerful argument that capitalism was by its very nature unstable and prone to collapse. Far from trending toward some magical state of equilibrium, capitalism would inevitably do the opposite. It would lurch over a cliff...Minsky spent the last years of his life, in the early 1990s, warning of the dangers of securitization and other forms of financial innovation, but few economists listened. Nor did they pay attention to consumers' and companies' growing dependence on debt, and the growing use of leverage within the financial system... Minsky...argued for a ``bubble-up'' approach, sending money to the poor and unskilled first. The government - or what he liked to call ``Big Government'' - should become the ``employer of last resort,'' he said, offering a job to anyone who wanted one at a set minimum wage. It would be paid to workers who would supply child care, clean streets, and provide services that would give taxpayers a visible return on their dollars. In being available to everyone, it would be even more ambitious than the New Deal, sharply reducing the welfare rolls by guaranteeing a job for anyone who was able to work. Such a program would not only help the poor and unskilled, he believed, but would put a floor beneath everyone else's wages too, preventing salaries of more skilled workers from falling too precipitously, and sending benefits up the socioeconomic ladder.

Boston Globe; Capitalism Failed.

Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2009-08-20 16:16 EDT

China Makes Biggest Cut in US Treasury Assets Since 2000

Jesse

One has to wonder how long the UK, Japan and the US can keep supporting each other's crony capitalist oligopolies. China DailyChina cuts US Treasury holdings in June2009-08-18NEW YORK: China reduced its holdings of US Treasury debt in June by the biggest margin in nearly nine years, according to a US Treasury Department report issued on Monday.China cut its net holdings by 3.1 percent to $776.4

2000; China Makes Biggest Cut; Jesse's Café Américain; treasury assets.

Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2009-08-20 16:11 EDT

China Makes Biggest Cut in US Treasury Assets Since 2000

Jesse

One has to wonder how long the UK, Japan and the US can keep supporting each other's crony capitalist oligopolies. China DailyChina cuts US Treasury holdings in June2009-08-18NEW YORK: China reduced its holdings of US Treasury debt in June by the biggest margin in nearly nine years, according to a US Treasury Department report issued on Monday.China cut its net holdings by 3.1 percent to $776.4

2000; China Makes Biggest Cut; Jesse's Café Américain; treasury assets.

Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2009-08-20 16:11 EDT

China Makes Biggest Cut in US Treasury Assets Since 2000

Jesse

One has to wonder how long the UK, Japan and the US can keep supporting each other's crony capitalist oligopolies. China DailyChina cuts US Treasury holdings in June2009-08-18NEW YORK: China reduced its holdings of US Treasury debt in June by the biggest margin in nearly nine years, according to a US Treasury Department report issued on Monday.China cut its net holdings by 3.1 percent to $776.4

2000; China Makes Biggest Cut; Jesse's Café Américain; treasury assets.

Jesse's Café Américain Thu 2009-08-20 16:07 EDT

China Makes Biggest Cut in US Treasury Assets Since 2000

Jesse

One has to wonder how long the UK, Japan and the US can keep supporting each other's crony capitalist oligopolies. China DailyChina cuts US Treasury holdings in June2009-08-18NEW YORK: China reduced its holdings of US Treasury debt in June by the biggest margin in nearly nine years, according to a US Treasury Department report issued on Monday.China cut its net holdings by 3.1 percent to $776.4

2000; China Makes Biggest Cut; Jesse's Café Américain; treasury assets.

Fri 2009-07-24 00:00 EDT

Salon.com | "I would shut down the hedge fund industry"

Salon.com | "I would shut down the hedge fund industry" -- Simon Johnson and John Talbott on downsizing banks, reducing corporate pull in D.C. and getting pissed!

com; hedge fund industry; Salon; shut.

Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

Calculated Risk: Fed Paper on Reducing Foreclosures

Calculated Risk; Fed paper; reduce foreclosures.

Satyajit Das's Blog - Fear & Loathing in Financial Products Tue 2009-06-16 00:00 EDT

Satyajit Das's Blog - Fear & Loathing in Financial Products: Credit Default Swaps -- Through The Looking Glass

Satyajit Das's Blog - Fear & Loathing in Financial Products: Credit Default Swaps - Through The Looking Glass; ``The specter of banks, some of whom have needed capital injections and liquidity support from governments to ensure their own survival, offering to insure other market participants against the risk of default of sovereign government (sometimes their own) is surreal.'' ``much of what passed for financial innovation was specifically designed to conceal risk, obfuscate investors and reduce transparency''

Credit Default Swap; fears; financial products; loath; Looking Glass; Satyajit Das's Blog.

Thu 2009-05-07 00:00 EDT

Beat the Press Archive | The American Prospect

first quarter wage growth slowed below inflation rate, reducing consumer purchasing power

American Prospect; beat; Press archival.

Tue 2009-04-21 00:00 EDT

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Boomers' Future Went Down The Drain

``A structural shift in consumption to savings or at least reduced consumption, is in store for boomers''

Boomers; drain; futures went; Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis.

Tue 2009-02-24 00:00 EST

naked capitalism: Quelle Surprise! Big Banks Who Got TARP Funds Reduced Lending

big banks; naked capitalism; Quelle Surprise; TARP Funds Reduced Lending.

Thu 2009-01-15 00:00 EST

Jesse's Café Américain: Goldman Sachs Offshores Its Profits and Reduces Its Taxes to 1%

Jesse's Café Américain: Goldman Sachs Offshores Its Profits and Reduces Its Taxes to 1%; ``globalization has become just another enabler, wherein multinational financial corporations can play a larger set of jurisdictions and peoples against one another for the benefit of an elite minority.''

1; Goldman Sachs Offshores; Jesse's Café Américain; profits; reduce; tax.

Tue 2008-09-23 00:00 EDT

Jesse's Café Américain: China Seeks to Reduce Its Exposure to Dollar Assets

Jesse's Café Américain: China Seeks to Reduce Its Exposure to Dollar Assets

China seeks; dollar assets; exposure; Jesse's Café Américain; reduce.

Fri 2005-05-13 00:00 EDT

Computer Economics: research on strategic and financial management of information systems

Open source users rate reduced vendor dependence most important in choosing open source.

Computational economics; financial Management; Information system; research; strategic.